Volume with Structure = Leverage - The BrownBagBets Way

BrownBagBets · Daily Card

Volume with structure is not noise. It’s leverage.

January 11, 2026 · Morning Release. If you’re new here, this page may look different than what you’re used to. There’s no scoreboard at the top, no claims about being “hot,” and no attempt to sell certainty. That’s intentional.

BrownBagBets is built around a simple idea: when betting volume is applied with discipline, its value extends beyond individual wins and losses. Results matter — yesterday showed that — but volume also builds trust with the market, stabilizes limits, and compounds benefits through tiered loyalty programs with preferred books.

Yesterday logged over twenty plays across NFL, college basketball, and NHL. The card closed with a 14% overnight gain, lifting the January bankroll to 94.1%. That kind of move isn’t about chasing momentum. It’s about showing up, documenting everything, and letting structure work over time.

You’ll also notice something important today: there are no Pattern Walk–identified plays on the board. Pattern Walk exists to grant permission — not to force action. Month-to-date, those identified plays remain 10–5. When the market doesn’t offer that clarity, we don’t manufacture it.

Yesterday’s Results Today’s Plays Dashboard

Pattern Literacy Canon — Volume I

The foundational PDF explaining how BrownBagBets reads markets. Free, quiet, and sharp.

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Results · January 10, 2026

• NFL · Rams at Panthers — Panthers +11 (5%) WIN
• NFL · Packers at Bears — Packers -1.5 (5%) LOSS
• NCAAB · Fordham +9.5 (3%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Miami -13.5 (3%) LOSS ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Tennessee ML (2%) LOSS
• NCAAB · App State ML (3%) LOSS ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Creighton ML (3%) LOSS ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Under 150 W&M/Drexel (3%) WIN
• NCAAB · VMI +13 (3%) LOSS ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Marquette +6 (3%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Arkansas Pine Bluff ML (3%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Under 147.5 Tulane/UTSA (3%) WIN
• NCAAB · Eastern Washington ML (3%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
• NCAAB · Auburn ML (3%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
• NHL · Bruins ML (2%) WIN
• NHL · Avalanche -1.5 (2%) WIN
• NHL · Red Wings ML (3%) WIN
• NHL · Oilers -1 (2%) LOSS

Today’s Plays · January 11, 2026

• NFL · Bills at Jaguars — Jaguars ML (4%)
• NFL · Bills at Jaguars — Dalton Kincaid Over 42.5 Rec Yds (2%)
• NFL · Bills at Jaguars — Dalton Kincaid Anytime TD (2%)
• NFL · 49ers at Eagles — Saquon Barkley Over 18.5 Carries (2%)
• NFL · 49ers at Eagles — Eagles -6 (3%)
• NFL · Chargers at Patriots — Chargers +3.5 (3%)
• NFL · Chargers at Patriots — Under 46 (3%)
• NCAAB · Memphis at FAU — FAU ML (3%)
• NCAAB · Cincinnati at UCF — UCF -3 (4%)
• NCAAB · Cincinnati at UCF — Under 151.5 (4%)
• NHL · Penguins at Bruins — Bruins ML (3%)
• NHL · Blue Jackets at Mammoth — Mammoth ML (2%)
• NHL · Golden Knights at Sharks — Sharks ML (3%)
• NBA · Knicks at Trail Blazers — Blazers +4.5 (3%)

2026 Performance Dashboard · Reconciled Through January 10

Bankroll

94.1%

Record

46–46–1

Total Plays MTD

93

Process Status

Contained

By League (Record)

NFL 1–1
CFB 3–2
NCAAB 26–22–1
NBA 1–6
NHL 11–11

By Market (Record)

Moneyline 31–28
Spread 14–13
Totals 15–10
Props 4–5

Pattern Walk Identified

10–5
Smaller size · cleaner structure

This dashboard is diagnostic, not predictive. Records are exact. The objective remains preservation, signal capture, and patience while structure reveals itself.

If Pattern Literacy resonates, the next step is here. → /pattern-literacy