Approved Indicator Library
Every sport produces more information than a bettor can responsibly treat as meaningful. BrownBagBets uses governed sport-specific frameworks to decide what deserves attention, what qualifies as evidence, which mechanisms are genuinely independent, and when the current price still permits participation. The library organizes influence. It does not manufacture bets.
SCAN -> TRACK / WATCH / NO CASE -> DECIDE -> LEARN
The Indicator Library now sits inside a clearer operating sequence. SCAN searches broadly. Classification narrows the board. DECIDE determines whether the mechanism, expression and price actually deserve capital. LEARN reviews the preserved decision after reality arrives.
Search broadly
Review the relevant board deeply enough to avoid missing legitimate sporting conditions worth investigation.
Classify the research
TRACK means the case deserves continued attention. WATCH means evidence is incomplete or conditional. NO CASE means the thesis does not currently qualify.
Separate thesis from wager
Choose the cleanest market expression, challenge the price, account for uncertainty and correlation, and decide whether any allocation is justified.
Freeze the decision
Official positions are preserved before settlement with their market, price, allocation and reasoning so the outcome cannot rewrite the original case.
Turn outcomes into evidence
Review what held, what failed, what the market taught us and whether the framework, threshold or evidence weighting should change.
TRACK is a research status, not an authorization to wager. A tracked case can remain tracked, move to WATCH, die as NO CASE, or reach DECIDE and still fail on expression, price, allocation or portfolio fit.
The sporting thesis and the wager are related but not identical. BrownBagBets can continue believing the mechanism while declining the available number.
Three active analytical systems. One common decision discipline.
MLB, NFL and NCAAF are the current governed public systems. Their implementation differs because their sporting mechanisms, information timing and market structures differ. The evidence below describes the current state of each system without pretending the samples are interchangeable.
165 graded wagers
The completed regular-season sample is now a closed evidence set being used to improve qualification, market expression, price discipline and postseason decisions.
October is a new environment
Postseason decisions inherit the regular-season learning but must account for changed starter usage, bullpen access, managerial hooks, series context and market compression.
Mechanism-based SCAN
The current framework operates prospectively through weekly full-slate scanning, causal football mechanisms, contradiction, expression and price.
Large board. Narrow qualification.
Broad discovery is necessary because the board is large. Qualification remains narrow so breadth does not become loose participation.
The library tells us which information has earned the right to influence a decision.
BrownBagBets does not maintain a loose collection of statistics that might matter. It maintains sport-specific research frameworks that define the questions worth asking and the evidence required to answer them.
Each sport has different mechanisms, data quality, information timing, market structures and sources of uncertainty. The Indicator Library gives those differences a governed place inside one decision system. An indicator becomes useful only when it is relevant to the selected market, supported by qualified evidence, distinguishable from overlapping information and capable of changing the interpretation of the matchup, price or risk.
Multiple indicators can make a case stronger. Independence determines whether they actually do.
Indicator Stacking remains useful, but the definition is more precise now. Several qualified indicators matter only when they represent genuinely different causal paths. Multiple measurements of the same underlying mechanism do not create additional reasons simply because there are more statistics on the page.
Qualify the indicators first. Resolve overlap second. Evaluate convergence only after independence has been considered.
A legitimate sporting mechanism independently supports the selected market expression.
Independent reasonA different mechanism would still support the case even if Indicator A disappeared.
Independent reasonSeveral measurements reinforce Indicator B but arise from the same underlying story.
Supporting evidence · not another reasonOne decision philosophy. Different sporting mechanisms.
BrownBagBets does not force every sport into the same indicator taxonomy. Each framework reflects the sport's own causal structure, evidence timing, uncertainty and market behavior.
Major League Baseball
A mature live research program covering starting pitching, workload and hook risk, lineup and offensive environment, bullpen access, game shape, market positioning, player derivatives and price behavior. The 2026 regular season is now closed as a completed analytical period and the postseason is active.
National Football League
The live NFL framework is mechanism-based rather than label-based. Core mechanisms include Rushing Advantage, Pressure vs Protection, Passing Game Function and Drive Sustainability & Game Shape, supported by conditional mechanisms, functional injury analysis, replacement capacity, hidden yardage, market expression and price.
Operational · Prospective 2026 weekly SCAN Explore NFL FrameworkCollege Football
Eight governed parent indicators support a broad discovery process: QB & System Stability, Roster Continuity & Readiness, Sustainability, Trench Control, Explosiveness, Disruption, Expected Game Shape, and Market Positioning & Price Behavior.
Operational · 2026 prospective discovery framework Explore NCAAF FrameworkEnglish Premier League
An emerging prospective framework organized around chance quality, territorial control, regression and hidden performance, situational match advantage, player availability and downstream market confirmation. The public evidence base remains smaller than the three primary active systems above.
Emerging · Prospective evidence collection Explore EPL FrameworkNCAA Basketball Indicator Framework
Phase 1 prospective architecture built around seven provisional basketball mechanisms: Functional Team Quality, Possession Economy, Shot Profile Creation & Prevention, Interior Pressure & Foul Economy, Tempo & Expected Game Shape, Roster / Role / Rotation Integrity, and Scheme & Tactical Interaction.
Phase 1 · Prospective shadow testing Explore NCAAB FrameworkNational Basketball Association
Player availability, rotations, matchup hunting, pace, shot quality, rest, schedule compression, game shape and market adjustment remain recognized research areas for a future governed public framework.
Reserved · Framework not yet governedNational Hockey League
Goaltender status, line combinations, special teams, travel, rest, shot quality, defensive structure, pace and market behavior remain recognized research areas for a future governed public framework.
Reserved · Framework not yet governedAn indicator can exist without being allowed to carry the same weight.
BrownBagBets separates the existence of an observation from the confidence we are justified in assigning to it. Status is descriptive, not promotional.
Central mechanism
A qualifying mechanism with direct relevance to the selected market and enough evidence to lead the case.
Secondary independent path
A separate mechanism that strengthens the case without simply repeating the primary signal.
Reinforces, does not lead
Useful evidence that supports an existing thesis but should not independently create the wager.
Changes interpretation
Relevant information such as environment, motivation or schedule that shapes the case without becoming a standalone reason.
Enough repetition to study
A sample large or coherent enough to deserve formal review, but not automatic elevation to predictive status.
Promising, not settled
An emerging pattern that remains descriptive until repetition and independence justify more confidence.
Useful with restraint
The result can inform future questions, but the sample is too small to carry a strong public conclusion.
Do not promote
The observation has not earned meaningful influence or a larger public claim.
A conclusion should change only when something meaningful changes.
BrownBagBets preserves research continuity rather than repeatedly re-handicapping the same information into a different answer. Evidence and price are the two primary ways permission can change after a case has already been classified.
Reconsider the conclusion.
An injury update, lineup change, weather shift, new market number, role change, meaningful steam, confirmed personnel development or other material information can alter the case. Reconsideration is justified because the decision environment is different.
Preserve the existing conclusion.
Re-reading the same facts does not create new permission. When the evidence and price are materially unchanged, the prior TRACK, WATCH or NO CASE status should remain intact unless the original reasoning itself is shown to be flawed.
Infrastructure, not oracle.
BrownBagBets uses AI to expand research breadth, organize evidence, challenge consistency and preserve the operating record. It does not outsource judgment, bankroll permission or accountability to a model.
Every indicator must earn influence.
Recognition is not enough. BrownBagBets controls how information enters, combines within and exits the decision process.
Does it apply?
The evidence must matter to this matchup, market, team, player or decision.
Is it credible?
Information must be current, reliable, properly sourced and strong enough to deserve influence.
Is this another reason?
Supporting evidence can strengthen one mechanism, but only separate causal paths increase the number of independent reasons.
What could make us wrong?
The strongest legitimate countercase remains visible instead of being edited out because the preferred thesis is attractive.
What market fits?
The selected wager should match the mechanism as directly as possible rather than adding conditions the thesis has not earned.
Is permission still there?
A correct sporting thesis can become a poor wager when the market number moves beyond the acceptable threshold.
How much capital?
Evidence quality, uncertainty, correlation and total portfolio exposure govern percentage allocation.
Can the decision be audited?
Official positions are published before settlement and remain part of the permanent record whether they win or lose.
Large information universe. Small decision surface.
The Indicator Library helps BrownBagBets search intelligently without treating every piece of information equally. Evidence qualifies the indicator. Independence determines whether another reason has actually been added. Contradiction tests the case. Market expression translates the sporting thesis. Price determines whether participation remains justified. The prospective record allows the system to learn.
Sports outcomes remain uncertain. No indicator, model, framework or analysis guarantees profit. BrownBagBets does not treat prior success as permission to increase risk, chase losses or use money required for essential living expenses, debt obligations, emergency savings or family needs.