Today’s Approach: Structure Meets Volume

Daily Card — January 10, 2026
BrownBagBets · Daily Card
When volume rises, structure matters more.

January 10, 2026 · 11:45 AM ET. This is the type of day that exposes whether a betting process is real or just something that works when the board is quiet. The NFL playoffs bring urgency by design. College basketball brings scale. Together, they overwhelm anyone without rules.

Today, Pattern Walk is not a feature — it’s the spine of the card. You’ll see it applied aggressively across college basketball, not because the slate is large, but because the market is finally offering repeatable structure. Numbers are being defended. Prices are doing the talking.

Yesterday closed at 80% of bankroll. That’s not a reset point. It’s a checkpoint. Losses were contained, wins were earned, and exposure stayed deliberate. This card is built the same way — early, documented, and ready to expand as the day unfolds.

Pattern Literacy Canon — Volume I

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Results · January 9, 2026
  • CFB SEMIFINAL · Oregon vs Indiana — Oregon +3 (5%) LOSS ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Miami (OH) at Toledo — Miami +1.5 (5%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · USC at Minnesota — USC ML +175 (3%) WIN
  • NCAAB · UNLV at Colorado State — Colorado State -6 (5%) WIN ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NBA · 76ers at Magic — Banchero Over P+R (3%) LOSS
  • NBA · Raptors at Celtics — Garza Over P+R (3%) LOSS
  • NBA · Knicks at Suns — Knicks -1.5 (3%) LOSS
  • NHL · Kings at Jets — Over 5.5 (3%) WIN
  • NHL · Blues at Utah — Blues -1 (4%) LOSS
Today’s Plays · January 10, 2026
  • NFL WILD CARD · Rams at Panthers — Panthers +11 (5%)
  • NFL WILD CARD · Packers at Bears — Packers -1.5 (5%)
  • NCAAB · Fordham at St. Bonaventure — Fordham +9.5 (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) — Miami -13.5 (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Tennessee at Florida — Tennessee ML +195 (2%)
  • NCAAB · Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina — App State ML (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · St. John’s at Creighton — Creighton ML (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · William & Mary at Drexel — Under 150 (3%)
  • NCAAB · VMI at Furman — VMI +13 (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Villanova at Marquette — Marquette +6 (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Arkansas Pine Bluff at Texas Southern — Arkansas Pine Bluff ML (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Tulane at UTSA — Under 147.5 (3%)
  • NCAAB · Montana at Eastern Washington — Eastern Washington ML (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · Arkansas at Auburn — Auburn ML (3%) ◈ Pattern Walk
  • NCAAB · San Diego at Pacific — San Diego +7.5 (3%)
  • NCAAB · Grand Canyon -17 (3%)
  • NHL · Rangers at Boston — Boston ML (2%)
  • NHL · Blue Jackets at Avalanche — Avalanche -1.5 (2%)
  • NHL · Red Wings at Canadiens — Red Wings ML +115 (3%)
  • NHL · Kings at Oilers — Oilers -1 (2%)
2026 Performance Dashboard · Reconciled Through January 9
Bankroll
80.0%
Total Plays
72
Market Phase
Early January Compression
Process Status
Contained
Record
30–36–1

By League (Approx.)

NFL 0–0
CFB 3–2
NCAAB 14–13–1
NBA 1–6
NHL 8–10

By Market

Moneyline 21–20
Spread 12–11
Totals 10–8
Props 1–6

Pattern Walk Identified

8–3 (≈ +6.5%)
High signal · controlled size

This dashboard is diagnostic, not predictive. Net impact figures are approximate estimates intended to show directional contribution, not precise accounting. Early January compresses liquidity, sharpens closing efficiency, and exaggerates variance. The objective remains preservation, signal capture, and patience while structure reveals itself.
If Pattern Literacy resonates, the next step is here. → /pattern-literacy

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Volume with Structure = Leverage - The BrownBagBets Way

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CFB Playoff SemiFinal Takes Center Stage: Pattern Walk in Realtime