MNF Cashed, Hoops Loading: 1 PM Community Play

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BrownBagBets Daily Card
Tuesday, November 11, 2025 — 1:00 PM ET
Early snapshot — evening board finalizes later
Daily Briefing

Not a massive card last night, and that’s okay—when the indicators are light, we stay light. We still landed the biggest position on the board with Eagles ML, cashing a sleepy MNF in Green Bay exactly as priced. On the model side, we’re still mapping the early-season quirks in NBA and NCAAB lines as rotations tighten and market liquidity firms—this is where our tracking beats hot takes. Bankroll sits at 81% to start Tuesday; that’s the whole point of our system: size by edge, protect oxygen, and manage the month like a P&L rather than chasing “units” on any single ticket.

Also, the boys here flat-out love college hoops—this is when we start pulling threads on pace, whistle profiles, and travel quirks to find repeatable edges. Heads up: we’ve got a 1:00 PM ET play for the community today, with the evening board to follow once the indicators finalize.

Performance Dashboard — November (Live)

Updated with yesterday’s 2–4 slate
Start: 100%Current: 81%
MTD Record56–58–1
Win Rate49.1%
By Sport
UCL (UEFA)
7–3
EPL
8–2 6-straight
NCAAF
9–13
NFL
16–24–1
NHL
4–6
NBA
8–6
NCAA Basketball
4–4
By Market
Spread
20–22
Moneyline
16–18
Totals
14–5–1
Props
6–13
We manage the month like a P&L. Splits inform sizing; they don’t drive hero bets.

Yesterday’s Results

Audit trail
MatchupPickStakeResult
Eagles at Packers NFLEagles ML +1004%WIN
Eagles at Packers NFL PropDeVonta Smith o4.5 Rec -1203%LOSS
Blue Jackets at Oilers NHLOilers -1.5 +1402%LOSS
Wizards at Pistons NBAPistons -11.5 -1103%LOSS
Spurs at Bulls NBA PropDe’Aaron Fox o19.5 Pts -1203%WIN
Pelicans at Suns NBA PropMark Williams o24.5 Pts+Rebs -1053%LOSS

Today’s Picks

1:00 PM ET play + evening board

NHL

Two spots worth the price
NHL
Senators ML +100
2% stake
Moneyline
NHL
Kraken ML -120
3% stake
Moneyline

NBA

Market feel vs. rotations
NBA
Knicks -9 -125
3% stake
Spread
NBA
76ers ML -115
4% stake
Moneyline
NBA
Jazz ML +125
2% stake
Moneyline
NBA Total
Nuggets @ Kings — Over 242.5 -115
2% stake
Total

NCAA Basketball

Early edges, track whistle & pace
NCAAB
UMKC +5.5 -120
2% stake
Spread
NCAAB
Florida -17 -135
2% stake
Spread
NCAAB
UC Riverside +19.5 -105
3% stake
Spread
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AutoPilot Sunday: Bankroll at 84% with Sights Set on MNF at Lambeau Field