October’s First Big Board: Indicators Over Ego, Edges Over Noise

BrownBagBets Daily Card — Saturday, Oct 4, 2025
Posted 7:25 AM ET

First big sports weekend of October — and we’re sitting right at 100% after two days. EPL, MLB playoff baseball, College Football, and NFL are all on deck over the next 48 hours. What a time to be alive if you love the board.

Who we are: BrownBagBets is a community of disciplined bettors running a portfolio — not chasing parlays. We put indicators over ego, size wagers by confidence and price, and show our receipts daily. Our followers have turned this approach into reliable passive income all year — we’ve posted 6 winning months out of 9 in 2025, with transparent tracking and a bias toward long-term growth. If you’re new: we don’t sell picks; we publish a process that compounds.

Yesterday’s Results — Fri, Oct 3
1–1
Fulham @ AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth ML +100 (2%)
WIN
West Virginia @ #23 BYU
BYU -18.5 -125 (4%)
LOSS
October Results To-Date
Updated thru 10/3
Bankroll
Start 100% → 100%
Record
13–9–0
Streak: Push
By Sport
MLB 7–2
NFL 2–2
NCAAF 1–1
EPL 1–0
UCL 3–3
La Liga —
By Market Type
Spread 4–1
Moneyline 4–2
Total 3–1
Props 4–3
Results by Wager %
4%: 1–1
3%: 4–0
2%: 5–3
1%: 4–4
Today’s Plays
EPL • La Liga • CFB • MLB
Tottenham @ Leeds
1%
Pick: BTTS — Yes (-140)
Sunderland @ Manchester United
1%
Pick: Sunderland +1 (+100)
Sunderland @ Manchester United
1%
Pick: Over 2.5 (-140)
West Ham @ Arsenal
1%
Pick: Arsenal -2 (+100)
Liverpool @ Chelsea
1%
Pick: Liverpool ML + Over 2.5 (+250)
Valencia @ Girona
1%
Pick: Valencia ML (+205)
#22 Illinois @ Purdue
2%
Pick: Purdue +8.5 (-125)
Kansas State @ Baylor
3%
Pick: Kansas State +5.5
Army @ UAB
2%
Pick: UAB +7.5 (-115)
#14 Iowa State @ Cincinnati
2%
Pick: Cincinnati ML (+100)
Wisconsin @ #20 Michigan
2%
Pick: Wisconsin +17.5 (-115)
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech
2%
Pick: Virginia Tech (-110)
#9 Texas @ Florida
4%
Pick: Texas -5 (-115)
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois
2%
Pick: Miami ML (-180)
James Madison @ Georgia State
2%
Pick: Over 53.5 (-115)
#16 Vanderbilt @ #10 Alabama
2%
Pick: Vanderbilt +12.5 (-115)
Michigan State @ Nebraska
2%
Pick: Michigan State +13 (-115)
South Alabama @ Troy
3%
Pick: Troy ML (-105)
Nevada @ Fresno State
2%
Pick: Under 45.5 (-110)
Cubs @ Brewers
3%
Pick: Brewers ML (-150)
Yankees @ Blue Jays
4%
Pick: Yankees ML (+105)
Dodgers @ Phillies
3%
Pick: Phillies -1.5 (+180)
Bankroll Tracker
100%
October resets monthly. Current = 100% after results through Oct 3.
FAQ
Community Notes
“Why so many 1% plays in soccer?”
Early-month risk discipline and variance management. We scale soccer edges at 1% unless multiple indicators stack (form + injuries + price + market timing).
“What does 100% mean today?”
October resets to 100% on Day 1. We’re currently tracking at 100% after Oct 3 — protecting the month while we press real edges.
“Will there be midday adds?”
If fresh indicators light up (number + price + lineup/injury confirmation), we’ll tag and update. No signal → no bet.

BrownBagBets — indicators over ego, price over narrative, month over day. Track with us and let the math do the heavy lifting.

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.

At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

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No Secrets, Just Signals — Friday’s Card with Full Indicators