October Kicks Off with Discipline and an 8% Gain

Written By Jack Pocorobba
BrownBagBets Daily Card — Thursday, Oct 2, 2025
Posted 9:30 AM ET

October started with a bang — we went 8–4 on Day 1 and lifted bankrolls to 108%. Champions League split 3–3, while MLB — our late-season bread and butter — finished 5–1. Today brings three win-or-go-home Wild Card games, a primetime 49ers–Rams rivalry, and a taste of college football. As always: indicators over ego, and sizing that protects the month.

Yesterday’s Results — Wed, Oct 1
8–4 • W2
PSG at Barcelona
BTTS + Over 2.5 (-105) • 1%
WIN
PSG at Barcelona
Barcelona ML (-150) • 1%
LOSS
PSG at Barcelona
Over 3.5 (-125) • 1%
LOSS
Man City at Monaco
City ML + BTTS YES (+120) • 1%
LOSS
Olympiacos at Arsenal
Win to Nil (-125) • 1%
WIN
Athletic Club at Dortmund
Dortmund ML (-140) • 1%
WIN
Tigers at Guardians
Guardians ML (-130) • 3%
WIN
Tigers at Guardians
Tanner O13.5 Outs (-145) • 2%
WIN
Red Sox at Yankees
Yankees ML (-170) • 3%
WIN
Padres at Cubs
Under 6.5 (-115) • 4%
WIN
Padres at Cubs
Dylan Cease O13.5 Outs (-110) • 2%
LOSS
Reds at Dodgers
Dodgers -1.5 (-130) • 2%
WIN
October Results To-Date
Updated thru 10/1
Bankroll
Start 100% → 108%
Record
8–4–0
Win Streak: W2
By Sport
MLB 5–1
NFL —
NCAAF —
EPL —
UCL 3–3
La Liga —
By Market Type
Spread 1–0
Moneyline 3–1
Total 2–1
Props 3–1
Results by Wager %
6%: —
5%: —
4%: 1–0
3%: 2–0
2%: 2–1
1%: 3–3
Today’s Plays
MLB • NFL • NCAAF
Sam Houston St at New Mexico St
2%
Pick: New Mexico State +3 (-125)
49ers at Rams
1%
Pick: Jake Tonges O25.5 Receiving Yds (-155)
49ers at Rams
1%
Pick: Davante Adams Anytime TD (+105)
49ers at Rams
2%
Pick: Kyren Williams O67.5 Rush Yds (-115)
49ers at Rams
3%
Pick: Under 46.5 (-130)
Tigers at Guardians
4%
Pick: Guardians ML (-125)
Padres at Cubs
2%
Pick: Cubs +1.5 (-190)
Red Sox at Yankees
3%
Pick: Yankees -1 (-110)
Bankroll Tracker
108%
October start = 100%. Current = 108% (after Day 1).
FAQ
New Month, Same Process
Why didn’t we press harder after 5–1 MLB?
Edge ≠ entitlement. We size by indicators, not vibes, to protect the month’s compounding.
What does 108% mean?
Every $100 at October 1 open is now $108. We reset monthly to keep gains real.
Will there be adds?
If fresh indicators light up, we’ll post. No signal, no bet.

BrownBagBets — we don’t chase days; we compound months. Track with us, size with discipline, and let the math work.

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.

At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Jack Pocorobba
Next

Why September Was a Win — and Why October Starts at Zero