Discipline Pays: +9% Bankroll on a 5–1 Night

Road to March Madness
Season build → Tournament (Mar ’26)
Early data Conf. play Champ Week Selection Sun Tournament
Daily Briefing
Thursday, November 13, 2025 — 10:30 AM ET
5–1 bounce-back; controlled aggression into a packed Thursday.

We said the bounce-back would be better—and after Tuesday’s 4–13 gut punch, the team answered with a clean 5–1 to start repairing the month. That swing isn’t luck; it’s our process doing what it’s built to do: price over pride, throttle volume where the data is shaky, and fire only when today’s indicators clear our internal bars. We logged the lesson on early NCAAB models (too much last-year bias), tightened the screen, and let the board come to us. Bankroll climbed +9% overnight to 77%, and as always, we treat that like a P&L move, not a parade—no victory laps, just better decisions stacked. The war room is already back at work for a crowded Thursday: Jets–Patriots headlines, with actionable looks across NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and NCAAF. And yes, a bonus 11:00 AM ET play is already locked—follow the plays, follow the wagers, win the month, build the passive income.

Performance Dashboard — November (Live)

Updated with yesterday’s 5–1 slate
Start: 100%Current: 77%
MTD Record65–72–1
Win Rate47.5%
By Sport
UCL (UEFA)
7–3
EPL
8–2 6-straight
NCAAF
9–14
NFL
16–24–1
NHL
5–10
NBA
13–7
NCAA Basketball
7–12
By Market
Spread
25–32
Moneyline
19–21
Totals
14–6–1
Props
7–13
We manage the month like a P&L. Splits inform sizing; they don’t drive hero bets.

Yesterday’s Results

Audit trail
MatchupPickStakeResult
Sabres at Mammoth NHLMammoth -1 -1203%WIN
Bulls at Pistons NBAPistons -2.5 -1106%WIN
Wizards at Rockets NBA PropReed Sheppard o11.5 Pts -1104%WIN
Brown at Boston U. NCAABBoston U. ML -1653%WIN
Minnesota at Missouri NCAABMissouri -5.5 -1203%WIN
Long Beach St at Pacific NCAABPacific -9.5 -1104%LOSS

Today’s Picks

Final Snapshot — 5:00 PM ET
Highest stake today: 4% — Jazz +2.5 -115.

NFL — Thursday Night Football

Jets at Patriots
NFL Prop
Breece Hall Under 58 Rush Yds -135
2% stake
Player Prop
NFL
Patriots -12.5 -110
3% stake
Spread

NHL

Prices we’ll pay
NHL
Red Wings ML -130 vs Ducks
3% stake
Moneyline
NHL
Canadiens +1 -170 vs Stars
2% stake
Spread
NHL
Sharks ML +135 at Flames
2% stake
Moneyline
NHL
Sabres +2.5 -150 at Avalanche
2% stake
Spread

NCAA Basketball

Shorter leash until data stabilizes
NCAAB
Central Michigan at South Alabama — S. Alabama -4 -125
2% stake
Spread
NCAAB
Le Moyne at UMass — UMass -13.5 -140
2% stake
Spread

NBA

Market read
NBA
Jazz +2.5 -115 vs Hawks
4% stake
Spread
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We celebrate the month, not the moment — eyes forward.

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Stung, Not Shaken: The Bounce Back Starts Today