Busy Boards, Clean Signals: The Weekend That Decides
Last night was a light card and a light dent—enough to mark us at 73%, not enough to shake a system that’s carried us through the year. This room has survived colder weeks and still posted winning months in bulk; when the board gets noisy, we go back to what wins: price over pride, edge before ego, month over moment. The mid-month stretch is our favorite terrain because the market finally shows its tells—Friday through Sunday is where we’ve historically separated, just like September and October’s mid-month runs clearing 56%+ and powering those strong monthly finishes. We don’t “press” here—we harvest: expect 30+ plays across three days because busy boards create clustered edges, and our sizing keeps the oxygen flowing while the edges compound. Yesterday doesn’t change the blueprint; it confirms why we have one. And we start early: a 2:00 PM ET puck drop from Sweden (Predators–Penguins) is the first brick in the weekend’s wall—stack them, and the month takes care of itself.
Performance Dashboard — November (Live)
Updated with yesterday’s 3–5–1 slateYesterday’s Results — Nov 13
Audit trail| Matchup | Pick | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets at Patriots NFL Prop | Breece Hall Under 58 Rush Yds -135 | 2% | PUSH |
| Jets at Patriots NFL | Patriots -12.5 -110 | 3% | WIN |
| Ducks at Red Wings NHL | Red Wings ML -130 | 3% | WIN |
| Stars at Canadiens NHL | Canadiens +1 -170 | 2% | LOSS |
| Sharks at Flames NHL | Sharks ML +135 | 2% | LOSS |
| Sabres at Avalanche NHL | Sabres +2.5 -150 | 2% | LOSS |
| Central Michigan at South Alabama NCAAB | S. Alabama -4 -125 | 2% | LOSS |
| Le Moyne at UMass NCAAB | UMass -13.5 -140 | 2% | WIN |
| Hawks at Jazz NBA | Jazz +2.5 -115 | 4% | LOSS |
Today’s Picks
Final Snapshot — 5:00 PM ETNCAA Football
Friday spotlightClemson +2.5 -105 at #20 Louisville
Minnesota Team Total Under 10.5 -140 at #8 Oregon Late Add
NBA
Two sides + one propHeat at Knicks — Mikal Bridges Over 17.5 Pts -115
Warriors at Spurs — Spurs ML -140
Warriors at Spurs — Stephon Castle Over 7.5 Ast -105
NHL
Stockholm Series + late slatePenguins vs Predators (Stockholm) — Predators +1 -155
Islanders at Mammoth — Mammoth -1.5 +125
NCAA Basketball
Board density returnsIllinois St at USC — Over 157.5 -115
Xavier at Iowa — Iowa -16.5 -105
Northwestern at DePaul — Northwestern -5.5 -110
#5 Arizona at #15 UCLA — Arizona ML -150
Troy at Loyola Marymount — LMU ML -145
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