A Hard Reset Before Championship Saturday

Dec 6

    DECEMBER PERFORMANCE • 17–21 RECORD • 45% WIN RATE • BANKROLL 90%
  

      DAILY BRIEFING — DECEMBER 6, 2025 — 6:30 AM ET
    

      Not a good night — and no reason to pretend otherwise. But championship Saturday gives us a clean slate.
    

      Some nights simply don’t go our way. Yesterday was one of them — sharp positions that didn’t land, key spots 
      that never materialized, and a card that left the bankroll at 90% heading into one of the biggest Saturdays 
      of the year. These stretches aren’t comfortable, but they are honest. December has always been a month of 
      recalibration, revealing where our edges remain sharp and where the market is asking for a lighter touch. 
      The worst thing we can do now is drift. Instead, we acknowledge the setback clearly, tighten the decision-making 
      framework, and approach today with the same structure that’s built long-term success. Championship Saturday 
      isn’t a place to chase — it’s a place to execute. The card is massive, the opportunities are real, and the 
      discipline we apply today matters more than any single result on yesterday’s slate. A tough night doesn’t 
      decide December. How we respond does.
    
December Performance Dashboard
Bankroll: 102% → 90%
MTD Record
17–21
Win Rate
45%
Month ROI
–10%
By Sport

      • La Liga: 1–1

      • NFL: 0–3

      • NBA: 3–4

      • NHL: 3–6

      • NCAAB: 7–4

      • NCAAF: 0–1

      • EPL: 3–2
    
By Market

      • Spread: 6–8

      • Moneyline: 4–7

      • Totals: 3–1

      • Props: 2–4
    
By Wager % (Stake Tiers)

      • 4% Plays: 1–2

      • 3% Plays: 2–2

      • 2% Plays: 11–13

      • 1% Plays: 3–4
    
Yesterday’s Results — December 5

      
        Matchup
        Pick
        Wager
        Result
      
#24 North Texas vs #20 TulaneNorth Texas ML -1304%LOSS
Gonzaga at KentuckyKentucky +5.5 -1152%LOSS
Quinnipiac at IonaIona ML -1552%LOSS
Cincinnati at XavierXavier ML -1303%WIN
Jazz at KnicksGeorge o20.5 -1053%LOSS
Golden Knights at DevilsDevils ML +1052%LOSS
Sabres at JetsSabres ML +1101%LOSS
Today’s Card — December 6
English Premier League
Nottingham Forest at Everton

        Everton ML +120
        1%
      
Liverpool at Leeds United

        Leeds +0.5 +105
        1%
      
NCAA Football — Championship Saturday
#11 BYU vs #4 Texas Tech — Big 12 Championship

        Texas Tech -12.5 -110
        3%
      
Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan — MAC Championship

        Miami +2 -110
        2%
      
#3 Georgia vs #9 Alabama — SEC Championship

        Alabama +3 -110
        2%
      
#2 Indiana at #1 Ohio State — Big Ten Championship

        Ohio State -3.5 -112
        4%
      
#2 Indiana at #1 Ohio State — Total

        Under 47.5 -115
        3%
      
Duke at #17 Virginia — ACC Championship

        Virginia ML -170
        3%
      
NCAA Basketball
#8 Iowa State at #1 Purdue

        Purdue -4.5 -115
        2%
      
Boise State at Butler

        Butler -5.5 -110
        3%
      
Ohio State at Northwestern

        Northwestern -2.5 -110
        2%
      
NHL
Avalanche at Rangers

        Rangers ML +145
        3%
      
Predators at Hurricanes

        Predators +1.5 -135
        2%
      
Wild at Canucks

        Under 6 -115
        3%
      
March Madness Countdown
94 Days

        The month where edges sharpen, markets widen, and discipline becomes advantage.
      
World Cup 2026 Countdown
184 Days
Key Dates

        • Group Draw: November 5, 2025

        • Training Camps Open: Late May 2026

        • Opening Match: June 11, 2026
      

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.

At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Jack Pocorobba

Matchup	Pick	Wager	Result
#24 North Texas vs #20 Tulane	North Texas ML -130	4%	LOSS
Gonzaga at Kentucky	Kentucky +5.5 -115	2%	LOSS
Quinnipiac at Iona	Iona ML -155	2%	LOSS
Cincinnati at Xavier	Xavier ML -130	3%	WIN
Jazz at Knicks	George o20.5 -105	3%	LOSS
Golden Knights at Devils	Devils ML +105	2%	LOSS
Sabres at Jets	Sabres ML +110	1%	LOSS

A Hard Reset Before Championship Saturday

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

What the Indiana–OSU Game Taught Us About Our Own Blind Spots

A Small Step Forward: December Finds Its First Steadying Moment