A Small Step Forward: December Finds Its First Steadying Moment

DECEMBER PERFORMANCE • 16–15 RECORD • 52% WIN RATE • BANKROLL 102%

DAILY BRIEFING — DECEMBER 5, 2025 — 9:30 AM ET

A little green returns to the ledger — steadying the month and nudging the bankroll to 102%.

December has already shown us its character: uneven, demanding, and unwilling to reward half-measures. But nights like last night remind us that steadiness is earned one decision at a time. A 5–3 slate doesn’t erase the turbulence of earlier in the week, but it does something more important — it stabilizes the floor beneath us. Four days in, we’re hovering just above break-even, building the shape of the month rather than defining it too early. This is where disciplined bettors thrive: the slow middle stretch where emotion drifts but structure holds. Nothing about December is supposed to feel comfortable yet. These early days serve as calibration, showing us what markets are speaking clearly and which ones require more caution. We don’t chase narrative — we track signal. And that signal says the model is holding, even if the variance hasn’t finished shaking out. With 102% of the bankroll intact, today becomes another chance to build forward, one sharp read at a time.

December Performance Dashboard

Bankroll: 99% → 102%

MTD Record

16–15

Win Rate

52%

Month ROI

+2%

By Sport

• La Liga: 1–1
• NFL: 0–3
• NBA: 3–3
• NHL: 3–4
• NCAAB: 6–2
• EPL: 3–2

By Market

• Spread: 6–7
• Moneyline: 3–3
• Totals: 3–1
• Props: 2–3

By Wager % (Stake Tiers)

• 4% Plays: 1–1
• 3% Plays: 1–1
• 2% Plays: 11–10
• 1% Plays: 3–3

Yesterday’s Results — December 4

Matchup	Pick	Wager	Result
West Ham at Man United	West Ham +1.25 -118	2%	WIN
Cowboys at Lions	Pickens o77.5 -115	2%	LOSS
Cowboys at Lions	Cowboys +3.5 -115	2%	LOSS
Cal-Baker at CSUN	CSUN ML -165	2%	WIN
UC Davis at Hawaii	UC Davis +9.5 -115	1%	WIN
Avs at Islanders	Islanders +1.5 -140	2%	WIN
Wild at Flames	Wild ML -118	3%	LOSS
Kraken at Oilers	Oilers -1.5 +115	2%	WIN

Today’s Card — December 5

NCAA Football — AAC Championship

#24 North Texas vs #20 Tulane

North Texas ML -130 4%

NCAA Basketball

#11 Gonzaga at #18 Kentucky

Kentucky +5.5 -115 2%

Quinnipiac at Iona

Iona ML -155 2%

Cincinnati at Xavier

Xavier ML -130 3%

NBA

Utah Jazz at New York Knicks

Keyonte George o20.5 pts -105 3%

NHL

Golden Knights at Devils

Devils ML +105 2%

Sabres at Jets

Sabres ML +110 1%

March Madness Countdown

95 Days

The stretch where discipline consistently pays dividends — and the month that shapes our year.

World Cup 2026 Countdown

185 Days

Key Dates

• Group Draw: November 5, 2025
• Training Camps Open: Late May 2026
• Opening Match: June 11, 2026