A Tough Night, A Clearer Morning: The Work Continues

Written By Jack Pocorobba
DECEMBER PERFORMANCE • 11–12 RECORD • 48% WIN RATE • BANKROLL 99%
DAILY BRIEFING — DECEMBER 4, 2025 — 9:30 AM ET
Not the night we wanted — and if you missed the late plays, you probably slept better than we did.
December reminded us quickly that early momentum is fragile. Yesterday’s late card slipped, giving back the gains we worked for the day before and putting the bankroll at 99%. This is the part of the month where discipline matters most — where we resist frustration, avoid reactionary swings, and keep leaning into the markets we trust. December is long, and navigating its middle stretch requires clarity, not emotion. We don’t chase. We recalibrate. We look for consistency in process, not comfort in the short term. Edges still exist; they just don’t always reveal themselves on command. Today becomes another opportunity to practice patience, reinforce structure, and stay aligned with the strategy that has historically carried us through turbulence. It’s never about erasing a bad slate — it’s always about building the next good one.
December Performance Dashboard
Bankroll: 104% → 99%
MTD Record
11–12
Win Rate
48%
Month ROI
–1%
By Sport
• La Liga: 1–1
• NFL: 0–1
• NBA: 3–3
• NHL: 1–3
• NCAAB: 4–2
• EPL: 2–2
By Market
• Spread: 4–6
• Moneyline: 2–3
• Totals: 3–1
• Props: 2–2
By Wager % (Stake Tiers)
• 4% Plays: 1–1
• 3% Plays: 1–0
• 2% Plays: 7–7
• 1% Plays: 2–3
Yesterday’s Results — December 3
Matchup Pick Wager Result
Crystal Palace at BurnleyBurnley +0.5 +1051%LOSS
Forrest at WolvesForrest ML +1301%WIN
Brentford at ArsenalOver 2.5 + BTTS Yes +2901%LOSS
Chelsea at LeedsOver 2.5 -1352%WIN
Real Madrid at AtleticoAtletico DC +1101%LOSS
Hornets at KnicksMcBride o11.5 -1151%WIN
Hornets at KnicksKnicks -8.5 -1152%WIN
Clippers at HawksHawks -3 -1152%LOSS
Heat at MavericksFlagg o6.5 -1201%LOSS
Capitals at SharksSharks ML +1302%LOSS
IU Indy at DetroitUnder 181 -1202%WIN
Cal Baptist at BYUCal Baptist +20 -1132%LOSS
Northwestern at WisconsinNorthwestern +10.5 -1152%LOSS
Today’s Card — December 4
English Premier League
West Ham at Manchester United
West Ham +1.25 -118 2%
NFL
Cowboys at Lions
George Pickens o79.5 -115 2%
Cowboys at Lions
Cowboys +3.5 -115 2%
NCAA Basketball
Cal-Baker at CS Northridge
CS Northridge ML -165 2%
UC Davis at Hawaii
UC Davis +9.5 -115 1%
NHL
Avalanche at Islanders
Islanders +1.5 -140 2%
Wild at Flames
Wild ML -118 3%
Kraken at Oilers
Oilers -1.5 +115 2%
March Madness Countdown
96 Days
The defining stretch of the BrownBagBets model — where discipline becomes advantage and volatility becomes opportunity.
World Cup 2026 Countdown
186 Days
Key Dates
• Group Draw: November 5, 2025
• Training Camps Open: Late May 2026
• Opening Match: June 11, 2026

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.

At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Jack Pocorobba
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