Time to Level Up November: Today’s Best Free Sports Bets

🏀 March Madness Countdown • Tip‑Off ETA:  133 days (Mar 17, 2026)

Legacy tracker kept for continuity — we don’t chase days; we prepare for them.

📅 Tuesday, Nov 4, 2025 • 11:30 AM ET

BrownBagBets Daily Card

Another losing day. A couple in a row. That’s the truth, and we’ll always lead with it. Our edge comes from discipline: Law #1 — betting is cash flow, not gambling; we size stakes to protect oxygen. Law #2 — indicators over ego; we fix inputs, not vibes. With NCAAB entering the mix, we’re reassessing where value slipped and how books adjusted. Early card is below; final snapshot posts by 5:00 PM ET.

Yesterday’s Results

EPL — Everton at Sunderland

Sunderland ML +190

Wager 2% LOSS

NFL — Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Trey McBride o6.5 Receptions −155

Wager 2% LOSS

NFL — Arizona Cardinals Team Total

Over 24.5 −120

Wager 4% WIN

NCAAB — South Alabama at Toledo

Toledo ML −150

Wager 3% LOSS

NCAAB — Utah Tech at South Dakota

South Dakota ML −145

Wager 3% LOSS

NHL — Oilers at Blues

Blues +1 −120

Wager 3% WIN

NBA — Lakers at Trail Blazers

Trail Blazers ML −145

Wager 4% LOSS

Net impact (risk model, American odds): −8.17% day (−14% in losses vs +5.83% in wins).

Performance Dashboard — November (Live)

Bankroll (start→current)

100% → 83%

Updated with yesterday’s 2–5 slate

16–20–1

MTD Record

44.4%

Win Rate

Law #1 keeps us solvent; Law #2 keeps us honest about edges.

By Sport

EPL

2–2

NCAAF

5–4

NFL

6–9–1

NHL

2–0

NBA

0–1

NCAAB

0–2

By Market

Spread

4–6

Moneyline

5–9

Totals

4–1–1

Props

3–4

YTD Bankroll Tracker — 2025

Jan

82%

Feb

124%

Mar

128%

Apr

147%

May

58%

Jun

52%

Jul

121%

Aug

124%

Sep

171%

Oct

142%

Nov (MTD)

83%

Month-end review mindset: we celebrate the month, not the moment. 7 of 10 completed periods were net positive.

Today’s Picks — Early Card

UEFA Champions League — Arsenal at Slavia Praha

Arsenal −1.5 (−115)

Stake 3%

UEFA Champions League — Eintracht Frankfurt at Napoli

Under 3.5 (−165)

Stake 2%

UEFA Champions League — Bayern Munich at PSG

PSG ML (+150)

Stake 2%

UEFA Champions League — Union SG at Atlético Madrid

Atlético −1.5 (−125)

Stake 2%

UEFA Champions League — PSV at Olympiakos

Over 2.5 (−140)

Stake 2%

NCAA Football — Miami (OH) at Ohio

Miami (OH) +3 (−115)

Stake 4%

NCAA Basketball — Louisiana Tech at Nevada

Nevada −8

Stake 4%

Final snapshot posts by 5:00 PM ET. We’ll only add when indicators clear threshold; no force plays.

FAQ

How do you size stakes?

We scale 2–4% based on indicator strength and correlation risk. Law #1 keeps the bankroll breathing; no single bet decides the month.

What counts as an indicator?

Market screens (opener vs current), matchup metrics, and situational flags. Law #2: measurable > ego. If it’s not logged, it doesn’t lead.

When is the card final?

We publish a 5:00 PM ET snapshot. Any adds/hedges after that are rare and documented in the next morning’s ledger.

BrownBagBets • Transparent. Data-first. Process-disciplined. This content is educational and not financial advice.