Cashflow Over Record: How BrownBagBets Wins the Month, Not the Day

Penultimate Push: Bankroll 152% — Volume + Sizing = Cashflow
Mon • Sept 29, 2025 • 9:00 AM ET

Second-to-last day of September and the community sits at 152% of where we started on 9/1. Yesterday showcased the model: we went 11–12 across 23 plays and still booked a small gain — because our Bankroll Intelligence weights wagers by the indicators on each play, not by ego. Bet $100 average per play? That’s ~230 loyalty credits on top of the cash — free money from your book’s rewards program.

MLB’s regular season is closed; today we zero in on a lone EPL edge, our La Liga trial, and Monday Night Football. One MNF game shows just a single board-member signal at 9:00 AM, so we’ll wait for a clean indicator stack before acting. Check back by 4:00 PM ET for adds.

Sunday’s Results
11–12
Real Sociedad at Barcelona
Barça -1.5 -130 (2%)
LOSS
Fulham at Aston Villa
Villa ML +135 (2%)
WIN
Arsenal at Newcastle
Arsenal win to nil +270 (2%)
LOSS
Vikings vs Steelers (Dublin)
Vikings -2.5 -115 (2%)
LOSS
Commanders at Falcons
Under 43.5 -110 (2%)
LOSS
Commanders at Falcons
Falcons ML -120 (5%)
WIN
Saints at Bills
Allen U0.5 INT -190 (2%)
LOSS
Saints at Bills
1Q Bills -3.5 -105 (2%)
WIN
Browns at Lions
Lions -9.5 -120 (3%)
WIN
Titans at Texans
Titans +7.5 -115 (3%)
LOSS
Titans at Texans
Under 39.5 -115 (3%)
WIN
Chargers at Giants
O. Hampton O66.5 Rush -135 (2%)
WIN
Chargers at Giants
Chargers -6 -110 (2%)
LOSS
Chargers at Giants
Giants 1H +4 -115 (3%)
WIN
Buccaneers at Eagles
Bucs +3.5 -110 (3%)
LOSS
Colts at Rams
D. Jones O214.5 Pass -130 (2%)
WIN
Colts at Rams
J. Taylor U87.5 Rush -120 (3%)
WIN
Colts at Rams
Rams -3.5 -110 (3%)
WIN
Colts at Rams
Over 49.5 -110 (4%)
LOSS
Jaguars at 49ers
49ers -3 -120 (2%)
LOSS
Bears at Raiders
Raiders ML -115 (2%)
LOSS
Rays at Blue Jays
Blue Jays -1.5 +115 (3%)
WIN
Reds at Brewers
Reds +1.5 -150 (3%)
LOSS
September Results To-Date
Updated thru 9/28
Bankroll
From 150% → 152%
Record
145–136–3
Win Streak: W1
By Sport
MLB 61–51–1
NFL 47–43
NCAAF 22–27–2
EPL 7–11
UCL 4–4
La Liga 4–1
By Market Type
Spread 58–58–2
Moneyline 47–29
Total 17–22–1
Props 23–27
Results by Wager %
6%: 1–1
5%: 3–3
4%: 24–20–2
3%: 42–34–1
2%: 54–57
1%: 8–12
Today’s Plays
Updated 4:30 PM ET
Real Oviedo at Valencia (La Liga)
2%
Pick: Valencia ML -140
West Ham at Everton (EPL)
1%2%
Pick: West Ham Double Chance +110 (1%)
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals -105 (2%)
Jets at Dolphins (MNF)
4%3%
Pick: Dolphins -2.5 -115 (4%)
Pick: Over 44.5 -115 (3%)
Bengals at Broncos (MNF)
4%NEW
Pick: Broncos -7.5 -110
Bankroll Tracker
152%
Starting bankroll = 100%. Current = 152% as of Sept 29.
FAQ
New Here?
How did 11–12 still net a gain?
Sizing. Higher-confidence edges get more bankroll; lower ones get less. Volume + sizing = resilience.
What if a game only has one signal?
We wait. We act when indicators align, not when emotions want action. Adds post by 4 PM ET.
What does 152% mean?
If you started September with $100, you’re at $152 today — before loyalty credits. We win the month, not the day.

BrownBagBets — disciplined, transparent, community-first betting. We don’t chase days. We win months.

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Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.

At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

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Final Sunday Surge: Discipline, Not Drama