Final Sunday Surge: Discipline, Not Drama

Final Sunday Push: Bankroll 150% — Discipline Over Drama, Edges Over Ego

Sun • Sept 28, 2025 • 7:30 AM ET

Yesterday ended rough and the bankroll took a hit. We start this Sunday at 150% of our September starting stack. That isn’t the story, though — our story is the system. BrownBagBets runs on Bankroll Intelligence: compounding indicators, deliberate sizing, and full transparency. We don’t chase emotions or hide the valleys; we manage risk, post every play, and win the month.

It’s the final Sunday before MLB’s regular-season close, with a full NFL slate, EPL on the board, and La Liga in the mix. Below is the entire card — sized, tracked, and ready to execute.

Saturday’s Results

8–13

Atlético Madrid at Real Madrid

Over 2.5 -135 (1%)

WIN

Man United at Brentford

Over 2.5 -150 (2%)

WIN

Brighton at Chelsea

Chelsea ML -115 (3%)

LOSS

Sunderland at Nottingham Forest

Over 2.5 +100 (2%)

LOSS

Wolves at Tottenham

Over 2.5 -145 (2%)

LOSS

Liverpool at Crystal Palace

Liverpool ML -120 (3%)

LOSS

#21 USC at #23 Illinois

Under 61.5 -110 (3%)

LOSS

#21 USC at #23 Illinois

Illinois +7 -110 (4%)

WIN

Duke at Syracuse

Syracuse +4.5 -110 (4%)

LOSS

Cincinnati at Kansas

Kansas ML -185 (2%)

LOSS

South Alabama at North Texas

Over 63.5 -110 (2%)

LOSS

Tulane at Tulsa

Tulsa +15.5 -110 (4%)

LOSS

#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss

Ole Miss ML -115 (2%)

WIN

Auburn at #9 Texas A&M

Auburn +7 -110 (4%)

WIN

Utah State at #18 Vanderbilt

Utah State +23.5 -110 (4%)

WIN

Arizona at #14 Iowa State

Iowa State ML + Under 49 +175 (2%)

LOSS

#6 Oregon at #3 Penn State

Penn State -2.5 -125 (3%)

LOSS

#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia

Georgia -2.5 -115 (6%)

LOSS

Orioles at Yankees

Yankees -1.5 -105 (4%)

WIN

Cardinals at Cubs

Cubs -1.5 +125 (4%)

WIN

Twins at Phillies

Phillies -1.5 +105 (4%)

LOSS

September Results To-Date

Updated thru 9/27

Bankroll

From 175% → 150%

Record

134–124–3

Win Streak: L1

By Sport

MLB 60–50–1
NFL 38–34
NCAAF 22–27–2
EPL 6–10
UCL 4–4
La Liga 4–0

By Market Type

Spread 53–51–2
Moneyline 45–28
Total 16–20–1
Props 20–25

Results by Wager %

6%: 1–1
5%: 2–3
4%: 24–19–2
3%: 39–32–1
2%: 50–49
1%: 8–12

Today’s Plays

NFL • MLB • EPL • La Liga

Real Sociedad at FC Barcelona (La Liga)

2%

Pick: FC Barcelona -1.5 -130

Fulham at Aston Villa (EPL)

2%

Pick: Villa ML +135

Arsenal at Newcastle United (EPL)

2%

Pick: Arsenal win to nil +270

Vikings vs Steelers (Dublin)

2%

Pick: Vikings -2.5 -115

Commanders at Falcons

2%5%

Pick: Under 43.5 -110 (2%)
Pick: Falcons ML -120 (5%)

Saints at Bills

2%

Pick: Josh Allen U0.5 INT -190 (2%)
Pick: 1Q Bills -3.5 -105 (2%)

Browns at Lions

3%

Pick: Lions -9.5 -120

Titans at Texans

3%

Pick: Titans +7.5 -115 (3%)
Pick: Under 39.5 -115 (3%)

Chargers at Giants

2%3%

Pick: Omarion Hampton O66.5 Rush -135 (2%)
Pick: Chargers -6 -110 (2%)
Pick: Giants 1H +4 -115 (3%)

Buccaneers at Eagles

3%

Pick: Bucs +3.5 -110

Colts at Rams

2%3%4%

Pick: Daniel Jones O214.5 Pass -130 (2%)
Pick: Jonathan Taylor U87.5 Rush -120 (3%)
Pick: Rams -3.5 -110 (3%)
Pick: Over 49.5 -110 (4%)

Jaguars at 49ers

2%

Pick: 49ers -3 -120

Bears at Raiders

2%

Pick: Raiders ML -115

Rays at Blue Jays (MLB)

3%

Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 +115

Reds at Brewers (MLB)

3%

Pick: Reds +1.5 -150

Bankroll Tracker

150%

Starting bankroll = 100%. Current = 150% as of Sept 28.

FAQ

New Here?

Why show every pick?

Because transparency builds trust and discipline. No cherry-picking — you see the full process, daily.

What is Bankroll Intelligence?

We stack indicators (form, situation, market, matchup, environment) and size wagers by signal strength.

What does 150% mean?

If you started with $100, you’re at $150 today for September. We focus on winning the month, not chasing a day.

BrownBagBets — disciplined, transparent, community-first betting. We don’t chase days. We win months.