Plateau Shattered: Double-Up Sparks 194% Bankroll Surge

Plateau Broken: Reds Double-Up Fuels Surge to 194% — Massive Saturday Slate

Sat • Sept 20, 2025

About a week ago we hit what we call a bankroll plateau — a few days of sideways action while the portfolio digests variance. Last night was the breakthrough. We went 5–3 and pushed the September bankroll to roughly 194%. The difference maker: a smartly paired Reds position — one +1.5 and one ML at 3% each — built to capture upside while insulating risk. That’s Bankroll Intelligence: size, sequence, and structure. Today the board explodes with CFB, EPL, and MLB. Let’s keep climbing.

Friday’s Results

5–3

Tulsa at Oklahoma State

Tulsa +11.5 -125 (3%)

WIN

Iowa at Rutgers

Over 45.5 -115 (3%)

WIN

Cubs at Reds

Reds +1.5 -155 (3%)

WIN

Cubs at Reds

Reds ML -105 (3%)

WIN

Athletics at Pirates

Athletics -1.5 +160 (4%)

LOSS

Marlins at Rangers

Rangers ML -160 (3%)

LOSS

Guardians at Twins

Guardians ML -110 (4%)

WIN

Phillies at Diamondbacks

Bryce Harper HR +380 (1%)

LOSS

September Results To-Date

Updated thru 9/19

Bankroll

183% → 194%

Record

98–82–2

Win Streak: W1

By Sport

MLB 47–39–1
NFL 29–24
NCAAF 15–12–1
EPL 3–3
UCL 4–4

By Market Type

Spread 38–27–1
Moneyline 33–19
Total 9–14–1
Props 18–22

Results by Wager %

5%: 2–2
4%: 17–6–1
3%: 29–25–1
2%: 36–30
1%: 3–11

Today’s Plays Posted 7:00 AM ET

14 Plays

West Ham at Crystal Palace

2%

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals +100

Open-play xG & set-piece threat support 2.5 at even.

Chelsea at Man United

2%

Pick: Chelsea ML +140

Pressing edge + chance quality vs. United back line.

Nottingham Forest at Burnley

1%

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals +100

Two-way volatility; sprinkle at even money.

Brentford at Fulham

1%

Pick: BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 +251

Both create; combo price offers leverage.

UNLV at Miami (OH)

3%

Pick: UNLV -2 -115

QB edge + success rate delta; playable to -2.5.

Arkansas at Memphis

2%

Pick: Memphis +7.5 -120

Key-number capture through 7; live at +7 or better.

#17 Texas Tech at #16 Utah

2%

Pick: Utah -2.5 -135

Def front vs. TTU OL; under a FG is buyable.

#22 Auburn at #11 Oklahoma

4%

Pick: Auburn +7 -115

Number grab on 7; market overweights OU pace.

NC State at Duke

4%

Pick: NC State +3 -115

Def efficiency + turnover luck regression case.

Arizona State at Baylor

4%

Pick: Baylor -2.5 -110

Explosive play edge; under a FG is key.

BYU at East Carolina

4%

Pick: East Carolina +6.5 -110

Home dog through 7; schedules-adjusted splits favor ECU.

UL-Monroe at UTEP

4%

Pick: UTEP -5.5 -135

Rush success vs. run D; buy under 6.

Cubs at Reds

3%

Pick: Reds +1.5 -155

RL protection in run-friendly park; pen advantage late.

Athletics at Pirates

4%

Pick: Athletics ML -110

SP form + contact profile vs. PIT bats; fair -118.

Bankroll Tracker

194%

Starting bankroll = 100%. Current = 194% as of Sept 20.

FAQ

Community Notes

What’s a bankroll plateau?

3+ days flat. The goal is to hold ground, then break through — like last night.

Why pair ML with +1.5?

Two-path structure: protect downside with RL while keeping ML upside.

Staking bands?

1–5% sized by edge strength, correlation, and liquidity — the core of Bankroll Intelligence.

BrownBagBets — disciplined, transparent, community-first betting. Trust the process and enjoy the climb.