A Needed Pause, a Clearer Board, and a Fresh December Card

DECEMBER PERFORMANCE • 28–35 RECORD • 44% WIN RATE • BANKROLL 84%

UPDATED CARD RELEASED — FINAL PICKS LIVE AS OF 3:00 PM ET

DAILY BRIEFING — DECEMBER 9, 2025 — 11:30 AM ET

You didn’t miss it — we took yesterday off, and sometimes that’s the sharpest move we can make.

Today’s slate reflects our updated 3:00 PM ET final card.

Days without plays aren’t an oversight; they’re a deliberate part of the process. There are slates where the numbers don’t line up, the edges aren’t clear, or the market movement suggests more noise than signal. Yesterday was one of those days, and forcing action in that environment is how bettors drift from strategy into impulse. We’d rather post zero picks than low-conviction picks. It’s the same discipline that has guided every strong month we’ve ever had.

We also owe you transparency, which means we don’t pretend the day before didn’t happen. The 12/7 results were mixed — some sharp reads, some misses, two pushes — and the bankroll sits at 84% entering today. This is why the occasional no-play day matters: stepping out of the flow helps us reset the lens and recalibrate what the market is actually telling us.

Today, the board speaks more clearly. The data aligns again. And with that alignment comes today’s reconstructed, final 3 PM card — deliberate, structured, and fully in rhythm with the process.

December Performance Dashboard

Bankroll: 81% → 84%

MTD Record

28–35

Win Rate

44%

Month ROI

–16%

By Sport

• La Liga: 1–1
• NFL: 7–8
• NBA: 3–4
• NHL: 4–8
• NCAAB: 7–7
• NCAAF: 2–5
• EPL: 5–2

By Market

• Spread: 8–17
• Moneyline: 5–9
• Totals: 4–4
• Props: 5–4

By Wager % (Stake Tiers)

• 4% Plays: 1–3
• 3% Plays: 8–6
• 2% Plays: 14–21
• 1% Plays: 3–4

Results from December 7 (No plays 12/8)

Matchup	Pick	Wager	Result
Bengals at Bills	Higgins o52.5	3%	WIN
Steelers at Ravens	Under 43.5	3%	LOSS
Saints at Bucs	Mayfield o30.5	2%	WIN
Titans at Browns	TT Under 14.5	2%	LOSS
Titans at Browns	Browns -3.5	3%	LOSS
Dolphins at Jets	Dolphins -2.5	2%	WIN
Colts at Jaguars	Jaguars +1.5	3%	WIN
Commanders at Vikings	Commanders -1.5	2%	LOSS
Bears at Packers	Bears +7	3%	PUSH
Broncos at Raiders	RJ Harvey TD	2%	WIN
Broncos at Raiders	Broncos -7	2%	PUSH
Rams at Cardinals	Cards TT Over 19.5	2%	LOSS
Rams at Cardinals	Cards +9.5	3%	LOSS
Texans at Chiefs	Texans +4	3%	WIN
Blue Jackets at Capitals	Capitals -1.5	3%	WIN

Today’s Card — Final Update (3:00 PM ET)

UEFA Champions League

Sporting CP at Bayern Munich

Over 3.5 +100 4%

Galatasaray at AS Monaco

Galatasaray +0.5 -115 2%

Chelsea at Atalanta

Over 2.5 -125 2%

Frankfurt at Barcelona

Under 4.5 -130 2%

Liverpool at Inter Milan

Inter ML +110 3%

Atletico Madrid at PSV

PSV +0.25 -120 3%

NCAA Basketball

#13 Illinois at Ohio State

Ohio State +4.5 -105 3%

Clemson at #10 BYU

Clemson +6 -110 2%

Villanova at #2 Michigan

Michigan -17.5 -110 3%

Penn State at Indiana

Penn State +14.5 -110 3%

USC at UC San Diego

USC -15 -110 3%

Long Beach State at San Jose State

Long Beach State +7.5 -110 4%

NHL

Blue Jackets at Hurricanes

Hurricanes -1.5 +120 2%

Bruins at Blues

Bruins ML +110 2%

Sabres at Oilers

Oilers -1.5 +120 3%

Stars at Jets

Stars ML -140 2%

Avalanche at Predators

Over 6 -110 3%

March Madness Countdown

91 Days

The defining event of the BrownBagBets model — where patience becomes profit.

World Cup 2026 Countdown

181 Days

Key Dates

• Group Draw: November 5, 2025
• Training Camps Open: Late May 2026
• Opening Match: June 11, 2026