Plus-Money Edge: How a 5% Winner Turned 4–3 Into a Profitable Night

Plus-Money Edge: a 5% Cash Turns 4–3 Into a Win
Aug 26, 2025
7:00 AM ET

We treat this like monthly investing, not scratch-offs. The portfolio finished 4–3 last night, and our 5% plus-money hit (Blue Jays -1.5) did the heavy lifting. We also fired a 4% plus-money that missed—going 1–1 on those bigger shots is expected. When the winner pays + money, the math still swings our way, especially with smaller 2–3% positions (Liverpool ML/BTTS/Over) smoothing variance.

That’s the plan: two selective 4–5% swings at plus odds + disciplined 2–3% adds. Over a month, that structure compounds.

Bankroll: 158% of our August start. Receipts below; then today’s first play.

Yesterday’s Results — Aug 25
4% ❌ Loss
Reds +118
CIN 0–7 LAD • Final 8/25
3% ✅ Win
R. Greene o1.5 Total Bases +105
2 Total Bases • Final 8/25
3% ❌ Loss
Rangers -1.5 +125
LAA 4–0 TEX • Final 8/25
5% ❌ Loss
Royals -1.5 +135
KC 0–7 CWS • Final 8/25
3% ❌ Loss
Phillies -130
PHI 3–13 NYM • Final 8/25
5% ✅ Win
Blue Jays -1.5 +150
MIN 4–10 TOR • Final 8/25
2% ✅ Win
Liverpool BTTS Yes -200
LFC 3–2 NEW • Final 8/25
3% ✅ Win
Liverpool +125
LFC 3–2 NEW • Final 8/25
2% ✅ Win
Over 2.5 -170
LFC 3–2 NEW • Final 8/25
Today’s Picks
7:00 AM Update
4%
Blue Jays -1.5 (+130)
Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays
We post picks throughout the day—often around noon & 3 PM ET, never guaranteed. Check back.
Bankroll Progress
Current: 158% of August starting bankroll
FAQ

Why did 4–3 still win?

A 5% winner at plus money outweighs multiple small losses—by design.

Why pair 4% and 5% plays?

Two selective plus-money swings. 1–1 can still be profitable; 2–0 is a surge.

What is “monthly investing” here?

We grade the 30-day portfolio, not a single night. Consistent staking compounds.

When are more picks posted?

Often around noon & 3 PM ET—never guaranteed. Check back for additions.

Today's Picks
Aug 26 11:00 AM
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Pick: Sean Manaea Under 16.5 Outs
Wager: 2%
Colorado Rockies at Houston Astros
Pick: Astros -1.5
Wager: 4%
Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants
Pick: Cubs F5 Innings ML
Wager: 2%

Picks Update

3:00 PM ET
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Pick: Braves ML
Wager: 4%
Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics
Pick: Tigers ML
Wager: 3%
Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Under 9
Wager: 5%

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At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

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