Stacking Edges, Staying Green — BrownBagBets August Run (Aug 27, 2025)

BrownBagBets — Daily Card

Wed • Aug 27, 2025 Update: 10:30 AM ET

MLB slate & props • Discipline over drama • Transparent tracking.

Yesterday: 2–4–1 • Bankroll: 146% of August start

We logged every play and graded it straight. The column reads two wins, four losses, one push — a red day, not a red flag. Our culture doesn’t wobble with a box score: price first, right-sized wagers, process over pop, and full transparency. That discipline is why we’re still sitting at 146% of the August starting bankroll.

As of 10:30 AM ET we’ve added two more plays to the early Braves ML position. When number + matchup = edge, we fire — nothing more, nothing less.

Yesterday’s Results (8/26)

Braves

✅ Win

Wager: 4%

Graded as posted.

Blue Jays

❌ Loss

Wager: 4%

Graded as posted.

Tigers

❌ Loss

Wager: 3%

Graded as posted.

Cubs F5

❌ Loss

Wager: 2%

Graded at first-5 score.

Astros

❌ Loss

Wager: 4%

Graded as posted.

Sean Manaea — Outs (Under)

✅ Win

Wager: 2%

Prop cashed.

Total: Under 9

➖ Push

Stake returned.

Today’s Picks

As of 10:30 AM ET

Braves @ Marlins

Wager: 4%

Pick: Braves ML

Standard stake; we only add when price + matchup = edge.

Blue Jays

Wager: 3%

Pick: Blue Jays ML

Market entry at lean size.

Rockies @ Astros

Wager: 3%

Pick: Valdez to record the win

Prop position anchored to Houston starter.

Bankroll Tracker

August Performance

Current: 146% of August start

Bar scaled to a 200% cap for readability; current position shown above.

FAQ

Our Pillars

Price-first betting, disciplined 2–6% stakes, no chasing, and full transparency with timestamps and grading. Long game over hot takes.

What do the % mean?

Stake sizes relative to bankroll: 2% (small), 3% (lean), 4% (standard), 5% (strong), 6% (rare max). Color pills match size for quick scanning.

When are picks posted?

Timing varies with market/lineups. Today’s card reflects the 10:30 AM ET snapshot. If we add or remove anything, it’s timestamped in the header.