Black Friday Value Hunt: Eagles Spotlight & a 55% Bankroll
March is a portfolio, not a weekend. Every November rep feeds our tournament model—pace, shot quality, and lineup volatility—so this keeps us focused on inputs, not vibes.
International edges take time: squad continuity, travel loads, rest windows, and confederation market habits. This rail keeps our pre-tournament signals organized.
Black Friday. Bears at Eagles in the day’s spotlight—a cold, windy NFC fistfight with playoff implications—and a loaded board behind it. Special Friday slate, college football rankings on the line, and value hiding in plain sight.
55% bankroll means two things at once: we’ve taken our lumps this month, and we’re still breathing with plenty of edge left to deploy. Across the year, we’ve done what we said we’d do—treat betting like cash flow, publish receipts, and play the long game. Nine winning months out of the year doesn’t disappear because November’s been stubborn; it reminds us why systems beat mood swings. The portfolio is bruised, not broken.
We’ve got three betting days left—Friday, Saturday, Sunday—to write the chapter properly. That doesn’t mean swinging wild; it means cleaner entries, tighter prices, and letting the indicators do the talking while emotion rides the bench.
Our focus hasn’t changed: win the month. And when a month slips, we don’t self-combust—we stack the next month, just like the nine that already landed. Today is about Black Friday value, precise staking, and keeping the runway open for the weekend surge.
Performance Dashboard — November (Live)
Updated with 11/27 (2–6)Results — November 27
Audit trail| League | Matchup | Pick | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL Prop | Packers at Lions | J. Gibbs over 4.5 rec -125 | 3% | LOSS |
| NFL Prop | Packers at Lions | C. Watson over 51.5 rec -125 | 3% | WIN |
| NFL Prop | Chiefs at Cowboys | Mahomes over 24.5 comp -110 | 3% | LOSS |
| NFL | Chiefs at Cowboys | Chiefs -3 -110 | 4% | LOSS |
| NFL Prop | Bengals at Ravens | Andrews anytime TD +105 | 3% | LOSS |
| NFL Prop | Bengals at Ravens | Lamar u267.5 pass+rush -114 | 3% | LOSS |
| NFL Total | Bengals at Ravens | Under 52 -110 | 4% | WIN |
| NCAAB | Richmond at Furman | Richmond ML -175 | 4% | LOSS |
Today’s Plays — Black Friday (Final Snapshot 11:15 AM ET)
New adds tagged in tealNFL
Bears at Eagles headlineBears at Eagles — Saquon Barkley over 77.5 rushing -115
Eagles -7 -110
Bears team total over 17.5 -110
NCAA Football
CFP picture pressureOhio at Buffalo — Ohio -6.5 -115
Boise State at Utah State — Utah State +3 -105
#3 Texas A&M at #16 Texas — Texas A&M ML -130
#3 Texas A&M at #16 Texas — Over 51.5 -110
#25 Arizona at #20 Arizona State — Arizona ML -115
NCAA Basketball
Totals + MLVCU at Virginia Tech — Under 153.5 -110
Richmond at Charlotte — Richmond -6.5 -110
Vanderbilt at Saint Mary’s — Saint Mary’s +4 -110
Southern Utah at Robert Morris — Robert Morris -8 -115
North Dakota State at Arkansas State — Arkansas State ML -130
Cal State Northridge at Idaho State — Idaho State ML -110
NBA
Four playsMagic at Pistons — Pistons ML -140
Bucks at Knicks — Knicks -8 -110
Kings at Jazz — Keegan Murray over 17.5 pts -110
Mavericks at Lakers — Luka Dončić over 33.5 pts -110
NHL
Two spotsAvalanche at Wild — Wild +1.5 -150
Senators at Blues — Senators -110
Note: Late adds would only post if indicators converge and price holds. No heat checks—precision only.
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