Back in the Green: 9–6 Monday, 69% Bankroll

Road to March Madness
Season build → Tournament (Mar ’26)
Daily Briefing
Tuesday, November 18, 2025 — 7:00 AM ET
A clean 9–6 Monday lifts the bankroll; NFL lull, edges elsewhere.

We wanted a turn, and we got one—9–6 on Monday put us back in the green for the first time in a few days.

Momentum in our world isn’t magic; it’s math plus market timing, and yesterday’s tape shows the blueprint working.

69% bankroll after the bump means the mission is the same: keep prices clean, keep sizing honest, and let repetition do the heavy lifting.

Our edge isn’t a single pick; it’s a system that multiplies small truths across a card.

We filter with indicators, not impulse, and we size by order flow, not optimism.

That’s why we can absorb the noise of a week and still chase the signal of a month.

Wins cluster when the reads are independent and the correlation is managed—yesterday’s mix across markets is the template.

Today, the slate is tighter, which makes discipline even louder: take what the board gives, pass what it doesn’t.

We don’t need hero shots to win November; we need consistent execution and prices that age well.

Stick with the process, stack the edges, and let the month pay you—one good decision after another.

Performance Dashboard — November (Live)

Updated with 11/17 results (9–6)
Start: 100%Current: 69%
MTD Record99–108–2
Win Rate47.8%
By Sport
UCL (UEFA)
7–3
EPL
8–2 6-straight
NCAAF
17–19
NFL
24–32–2
NHL
10–18
NBA
18–14
NCAA Basketball
15–20
By Market
Spread
41–50
Moneyline
30–29
Totals
16–12–1
Props
12–17–1
We manage the month like a P&L. Splits inform sizing; they don’t drive hero bets.

Yesterday’s Results — Nov 17

Audit trail
MatchupPickStakeResult
Cowboys at Raiders NFLRaiders +3.5 -1104%LOSS
Cowboys at Raiders NFL PropGeorge Pickens Over 65.5 Rec Yds -1154%WIN
Cowboys at Raiders NFL PropTyler Lockett Over 26.5 Rec Yds -1205%WIN
Cowboys at Raiders NFL TotalUnder 50 -1154%WIN
Oilers at Sabres NHLSabres +1.5 -1653%WIN
Hurricanes at Bruins NHLBruins ML +1603%LOSS
St. Joe’s at Penn NCAABPenn +5.5 -1104%WIN
Drake at Charleston NCAABDrake +7.5 -1155%WIN
West Georgia at Tennessee Tech NCAABTennessee Tech ML -1603%LOSS
Oregon St at Oregon NCAAB TotalUnder 140.5 -1104%LOSS
Bucks at Cavaliers NBACavaliers -6 -1154%WIN
Pacers at Pistons NBAPistons -10.5 -1155%WIN
Knicks at Heat NBAHeat ML -1203%WIN
Knicks at Heat NBA PropNorman Powell Over 25.5 Pts -1253%LOSS
Bucks at Cavaliers NBA PropJordan Clarkson Over 15.5 Pts -1103%LOSS

Today’s Plays

7:00 AM ET snapshot — updates possible

NCAA Football

Midweek MACtion
NCAAF
Akron at Bowling Green — Bowling Green ML -145
3% stake
Moneyline

NHL

Two totals-as-puckline reads
NHL
Islanders at Stars — Stars -1 -105
3% stake
Spread
NHL
Blue Jackets at Jets — Jets -1 -125
3% stake
Spread

NCAA Basketball

One chalk spot
NCAAB
Idaho State at Santa Clara — Santa Clara -17 -110
4% stake
Spread
© 2025 BrownBagBets. The Laws e-book lands early 2026; early access: brownbagbets.com/sign-up.
We celebrate the month, not the moment — stack edges, not emotions.

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.

At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Next
Next

Monday Reset: Disciplined Blueprint