A Small Friday Card and the Discipline December Demands
This is where bettors lose patience. They chase volume, force edges, and convince themselves that action equals progress. It doesn’t. Progress comes from letting the board dictate exposure — not the other way around.
Friday slates are thinner, markets are tighter, and inefficiencies are harder to find. That’s why tonight’s card is intentionally smaller. These plays earned their way in. No fillers. No reach. No emotional sizing.
December isn’t about being aggressive. It’s about being precise.
By Market: Spread 15–24 · Moneyline 10–14 · Totals 10–5 · Props 6–4
By Wager %: 4% 6–5 · 3% 13–15 · 2% 23–27 · 1% 3–4
Rio Grande Valley ML LOSS
Syracuse -12.5 LOSS
Under 143.5 (Iowa / Iowa State) WIN
Blazers ML LOSS
Rockets -9.5 LOSS
Devils +1 LOSS
Wild ML WIN
Oilers -1.5 WIN
Because restraint is the edge when liquidity tightens.
Does a 4–5 night change the plan?
No. One slate doesn’t override the process.
Why still use 4% plays?
Because conviction doesn’t disappear during variance.
Is December harder to beat?
Yes — which is why discipline matters more than volume.
What’s the objective tonight?
Protect capital and let the weekend board open naturally.
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