Reading the Market, Not the Scoreboard

DAILY CARD · EARLY
BrownBagBets Daily Card
December 17, 2025 · 9:30 AM ET
December is never about one night — it’s about surviving the accumulation of nights. Yesterday’s slate finished 6–6, moving the bankroll modestly higher to 87%. No victory laps, no frustration spirals. This is the long game, and the goal remains the same: end the month with disciplined capital growth that can function as passive income, not adrenaline-fueled variance.

Last night also gave us something more valuable than a green number. We walked the community through a live example of how Pattern Literacy and line-movement interpretation operate in real time, using #11 Louisville at #18 Tennessee. The market structure pointed to margin sustainability — and Tennessee didn’t just cover, they validated the read decisively. That’s not a prediction victory; it’s a process confirmation.

If you’re new here, that framework lives inside our free Pattern Literacy PDF, available once you join the BrownBagBets community. And as always, remember to check back before 5:00 PM ET for the final view — our pick team updates twice daily as markets evolve.
December Performance Dashboard
MTD Record
63–69
Win Rate
48%
Month ROI
–7%
Bankroll
86% → 87%
By Sport: NFL 8–9 · NBA 6–12 · NHL 13–15 · NCAAB 23–19 · NCAAF 3–6 · EPL 6–3 · UCL 5–5
By Market: Spread 28–33 · Moneyline 12–18 · Totals 11–8 · Props 6–7
By Wager %: 4% 10–8 · 3% 18–24 · 2% 28–35 · 1% 3–4
Yesterday’s Results · Dec 16
🏀 Spurs vs Knicks — Knicks ML (-2.5) WIN
🏀 Spurs vs Knicks — Brunson O29.5 LOSS
🏀 Spurs vs Knicks — Wembanyama O21.5 LOSS
🏈 Troy vs Jacksonville State — JSU +2.5 WIN
🏀 #11 Louisville at #18 Tennessee — Tennessee -2.5 WIN
🏀 Butler at #5 UConn — Butler +15.5 LOSS
🏀 South Carolina at Clemson — SC +13 WIN
🏀 Florida State at Dayton — Under 163.5 LOSS
🏀 Pacific at #10 BYU — BYU -22.5 WIN
🏀 Loyola Marymount at UCSD — UCSD -2.5 WIN
🏒 Blackhawks at Maple Leafs — Leafs -1.5 LOSS
🏒 Flames at Sharks — Flames ML LOSS
Today’s Plays · Early View
NCAA Football
Old Dominion at South Florida · Cure Bowl (Orlando, FL)
Under 54 (-125) 3%
NCAA Basketball
Creighton at Xavier
Xavier -2 (-115) 3%
Longwood at Wake Forest
Longwood +24 (-115) 4%
UC Santa Barbara at Green Bay
UC Santa Barbara -3.5 (-110) 2%
Youngstown State at Robert Morris
Robert Morris ML (-125) 3%
#13 Vanderbilt at Memphis
Vanderbilt -7.5 (-110) 3%

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Teaching the Market, Not Chasing It

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December Discipline: Staying Accountable When the Bankroll Gets Tested