Recording Early January Volatility

Daily Card · January 5, 2026 · BrownBagBets
BrownBagBets · Daily Card
January opens with volatility that must be recorded before it is interpreted.

Today is January 5. It is 12:45 PM ET. The team resumed after a two-day refocus window. This card reconciles results through January 2 and stages today’s positions without urgency.

Results · January 2, 2026
  • Navy -7 (4%) WIN
  • Wake Forest +3.5 (5%) WIN
  • Arizona +1.5 (4%) LOSS
  • Panthers ML (2%) LOSS
  • Kraken ML (2%) WIN
  • Wild ML (2%) WIN
  • Merrimack ML (3%) WIN
  • Marist -2.5 (5%) LOSS
  • Stanford +9.5 (2%) WIN
  • Knueppel O3.5 3PM (2%) LOSS
  • Fox O24.5 PTS (2%) LOSS
2026 Performance Dashboard · Reconciled Through Jan 2
Bankroll
87.3%
Record
6–11
ROI
–12.7%
Market Phase
Early January Compression

By Sport

NCAAF 2–1
NCAAB 2–2
NHL 3–2
NBA 0–2

By Market

Spread 3–2
Moneyline 5–2
Props 0–2

By Stake Tier

5% 1–1
4% 1–1
3% 1–0
2% 3–4

This dashboard is diagnostic, not predictive. Early January compresses liquidity, sharpens closing efficiency, and exaggerates variance. The objective remains preservation, signal capture, and patience while structure reveals itself.
Today’s Plays · January 5, 2026
  • Nebraska ML +125 (2%)
  • Penn +3.5 (3%)
  • Rangers ML (2%)
  • Kraken ML (2%)
  • Wild ML (2%)
  • Peyton Watson O15.5 PTS (2%)
Pattern Literacy

January results are not a verdict. They are a dataset. The work is to observe line behavior, liquidity windows, and reversals without narrative attachment. That discipline is outlined in the Pattern Walk.

/pattern-walk

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

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At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.

Our Approach to Bankroll Management

We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.

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Records Tell the Story

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Process Over Reaction — The January 2 Card