September Surge: Building Momentum with a 5-2 Day

The second day of September was a solid one for BrownBagBets, with a 5-2 overall record that more than made up for the small loss on the first day of the month. What truly set yesterday apart was our strategic play selection: we hit 3 out of 3 of our 4% plays, while the 2 losses came from smaller 2% plays. This calculated approach meant that yesterday brought a significant return, further separating us from the starting line of September.

We now find ourselves sitting at 113% of our starting bankroll, a strong position just two days into the month. This is a great example of how our proprietary bankroll management and strategic betting approach work in tandem to yield consistent, positive results. As we continue into the month, we’re excited to keep building on this momentum and guiding our community toward even greater success.

MLB: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles

Pick: Orioles -1.5 / Wager: 3%

Continued Fade of the White Sox:

The Chicago White Sox are in a dire state, arguably one of the worst teams in modern MLB history. Their struggles are evident, especially against left-handed pitchers (7-24 record) and with expanded September rosters, making them vulnerable to quick pitching changes if needed.

Improved Orioles Offense:

The Baltimore Orioles are showing improved offensive performance and are better positioned to capitalize on the White Sox’s weaknesses. Despite Cade Povich’s struggles, the Orioles’ lineup should be able to exploit the weak pitching from Chicago’s starter.

Pick: Orioles -1.5 / Wager: 3%

MLB: Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins

Pick: Nationals ML @ +100 / Wager: 3%

Nationals’ Season Dominance:

The Washington Nationals have displayed a strong track record against the Miami Marlins this season, winning all seven matchups. This trend provides confidence in their ability to continue their success against Miami.

Recent Form of Starters:

Nationals’ starter Patrick Corbin has been in solid form, securing victories in his last two starts with a combined 1.50 ERA over 12 innings. In contrast, Marlins’ starter Max Meyer has struggled significantly, with a 7.12 ERA in August and five losses in six starts.

Pick: Nationals ML @ +100 / Wager: 3%

MLB: Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

Pick: Mets -1.5 @ +160 / Wager: 2%

Mets’ Recent Form and Starting Pitching:

The New York Mets have been exceptional since June 2, with a record of 50-29. They have competed well against strong teams and David Peterson has been particularly impressive, boasting a 1.86 ERA over his last six starts. The Mets have won 13 of Peterson’s last 15 appearances, with 11 of those victories by 2 or more runs.

Red Sox Struggles and Pitching Issues:

The Boston Red Sox have lost eight of their last 11 games and are sending Kutter Crawford to the mound, who has struggled with a 7.24 ERA in the second half of the season. Additionally, the Red Sox are 15-23 against left-handed pitchers and have a problematic bullpen, further tilting the scales in favor of the Mets.

Pick: Mets -1.5 @ +160 / Wager: 2%

MLB: Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves

Pick: Braves -1.5 / Wager: 2%

Chris Sale’s Dominance and Home Record:

Chris Sale, a Cy Young favorite, has been exceptional, allowing two earned runs or fewer in his last 14 starts and is undefeated at home with an 8-0 record. His pursuit of the MLB/NL Pitching Triple Crown adds to his strong form.

Rockies’ Struggles vs. Left-Handed Pitchers:

The Colorado Rockies have struggled against left-handed pitchers with a 13-29 record. Additionally, Kyle Freeland has a poor track record on the road with a 7.34 ERA and a 2-5 record. The Rockies are facing a tough stretch, playing their ninth consecutive road game against a playoff-contending team.

Pick: Braves -1.5 / Wager: 2%

MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

Pick: Brewers ML @ +130 / Wager: 2%

Brewers’ Offensive and Bullpen Advantage:

The Milwaukee Brewers have been highly productive offensively and boast a much stronger bullpen compared to the Cardinals. They have a strong track record against St. Louis this season with an 8-3 record and are enjoying a solid run at home with a 60-34 record.

Steven Matz’s Struggles and Recent Form:

Steven Matz, making his first start since April, has been problematic, allowing significant contact and lacking effectiveness with a high hit rate (37 hits in 27 innings). The Brewers are likely to exploit his struggles given their recent offensive form.

Pick: Brewers ML @ +130 / Wager: 2%