Last Day, Same Process: Bankroll Intelligence Over Feelings
Every November rep feeds our March model—tempo, shot quality, rotation volatility. This rail keeps us focused on inputs, not vibes.
International edges take time: squad continuity, travel loads, and confederation market habits. We’re building the runway now.
Last day of the month—let’s finish the right way. If you’ve followed us this year, you’ve seen the arc: multiple months above 100% (think Feb, Mar, Apr, Jul, Aug, Sep, Oct) and a process that compounds small edges into meaningful cash flow.
New here? We’re transparent, data-first bettors. We publish our indicators, stake sizing, and outcomes because a system isn’t real unless it’s measured in public.
We’re not betting the mortgage or the kids’ college fund—we invest a set bankroll and aim to grow it, month over month. When a month stings, we don’t chase; we reset allocations, re-center the indicators, and keep the flywheel turning.
If you’ve been with us all year, you know drawdowns happen—but the year’s curve still trends up. A follower who mirrored our discipline through those big months is sitting far healthier than November alone suggests.
We enter Sunday at 42%. Our edge comes from volume tied to discipline: more qualified signals across sports, sized by the density and agreement of indicators, not emotion. That is our trademarked Bankroll Intelligence: compounding conviction when the math stacks, throttling back when it doesn’t.
We don’t hide it. We don’t sell picks. We share what works—and what didn’t—so the community wins together and learns faster.
Performance Dashboard — November (Live)
Updated with 11/29 (6–8–1)Results — November 29
Audit trail| League | Matchup | Pick | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPL | Leeds Utd at Man City | City -1.5 -110 | 3% | LOSS |
| EPL | Bournemouth at Sunderland | Sunderland +0.25 -125 | 3% | WIN |
| EPL Total | Newcastle at Everton | Under 2.5 -120 | 2% | LOSS |
| EPL | Newcastle at Everton | Everton ML +175 | 3% | LOSS |
| La Liga SGP | Alavés at Barcelona | Barca -1.5 & Over 3.5 (+275) | 3% | WIN |
| La Liga | Oviedo at Atlético | Atlético -1.5 -115 | 3% | WIN |
| NCAAF | Kentucky at Louisville | Kentucky +3 -110 | 5% | LOSS |
| NCAAF | Clemson at South Carolina | South Carolina -2.5 -110 | 5% | LOSS |
| NCAAF | Wisconsin at Minnesota | Wisconsin -1 -115 | 5% | LOSS |
| NCAAF | Penn State at Rutgers | Penn State -13.5 -115 | 5% | LOSS |
| NCAAF | Oregon St at Washington St | Wazzu -13 -115 | 5% | WIN |
| NCAAB | Mercer at Elon | Elon ML -120 | 5% | LOSS |
| NBA Prop | Raptors at Hornets | Kon Knueppel o16.5 pts -120 | 4% | WIN |
| NBA Prop | Bulls at Pacers | Josh Giddey o8.5 rebs -130 | 4% | WIN |
| NBA Prop | Pistons at Heat | Jalen Duren o10.5 rebs -135 | 4% | DNP |
Today’s Plays — Sunday (Final • 10:00 AM ET)
Indicator-weighted, confidence-sizedEnglish Premier League
Early edgeArsenal at Chelsea — Arsenal ML +135
La Liga
Totals angleEspanyol at Celta — Over 2.5 -120
NFL
Volume + discipline = Bankroll IntelligenceFalcons at Jets — Falcons -2.5 -115
Saints at Dolphins — Dolphins -5.5 -110
Texans at Colts — Texans +3.5 -115
49ers at Browns — Browns +5.5 -105
Vikings at Seahawks — Seahawks -11.5 -115
Raiders at Chargers — Chargers -9.5 -115
NBA
Usage-driven propsRockets at Jazz — Reed Sheppard o13.5 pts -110
Grizzlies at Kings — Vince Williams Jr. o11.5 RA -135
Grizzlies at Kings — Santi Aldama o22.5 PRA -115
Indicator Note: Volume only increases when signal density agrees across sources. If price drifts through our guardrails, we stand down—no hero bets.
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.
At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.
Our Approach to Bankroll Management
We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
