Late Lightning & Steady Gains: A Monday Built on Momentum

We begin today sitting at 127% of our April starting bankroll — pacing strong and steady through the month. That’s how we do it at BrownBagBets: by managing risk, seizing value, and letting the math do the heavy lifting. Yesterday was shaping up to be a down day… until a late signal screamed for attention. We pushed the pick out on Instagram — Lightning -1.5 — not in our originally posted card, but when our model flashes green, we trust it. It hit. And just like that, the day turned from red to even — a textbook example of how our Bankroll Intelligence™ system keeps us consistently afloat.

Now, let’s reset. No NBA on the board tonight — the league pauses as teams prepare for the 2025 Play-In Tournament starting Tuesday. Meanwhile, Monday gives us a strong edge opportunity in the EPL with Bournemouth hosting Fulham. Historically high-scoring when these two meet, and recent trends point to goals flowing again. We see value in the total and possibly some player prop angles — more to come below.

MLB continues to deliver early-season returns for us, and today’s card looks tasty. We’re watching closely:

• Giants at Phillies

• Cubs at Padres

• Tigers at Brewers …plus others that are already popping with indicators we love to see.

We're also scanning the NHL slate for potential final-week playoff angles and fatigue fades — more picks coming from that front shortly.

As always, follow our guidance play-by-play and wager percentage by wager percentage. That’s how we win the month. That’s how we turn betting into passive income.

Let’s keep stacking smart wins. 🧠💰

English Premier League

Fulham at Bournemouth

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score @ +190 / Wager: 3%

Pick: Fulham +0.5 / Wager: 3%

MLB

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies

Pick: Phillies ML / Wager: 4%

Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers

Pick: Tigers -1.5 @ +115 / Wager: 3%

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

Pick: Padres ML / Wager: 4%