When the Curve Starts to Bend
When the Curve Starts to Bend
This is the part of the month we watch most closely. Over the last seven days, the read has sharpened —
not because everything has gone perfectly, but because the *right things* are winning.
Yesterday was a perfect example of bankroll intelligence in action. Smaller positions missed. Larger positions landed.
The result wasn’t noise — it was signal. We’re now back up to 87% bankroll, and when that curve begins to bend,
it’s rarely accidental.
BrownBagBets isn’t built on hot streaks. It’s built on Pattern Literacy — understanding how markets behave
before results show up in the ledger. When you learn to read structure instead of headlines, you stop chasing
and start positioning.
If you’re new, today shows you how this works in real time.
If you’ve been here, you know what this part of the month often precedes.
Yesterday’s Results · Dec 28
| Game | Pick | Wager | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds @ Sunderland | Sunderland ML | 3% | LOSS |
| Tottenham @ Palace | Over 2.5 | 2% | LOSS |
| Saints @ Titans | Saints ML | 3% | WIN |
| Jaguars @ Colts | Jaguars -5.5 | 4% | WIN |
| Bucs @ Dolphins | Over 44.5 | 3% | LOSS |
| Patriots @ Jets | Patriots -12.5 | 4% | WIN |
| Patriots TT | Over 27.5 | 4% | WIN |
| Seahawks @ Panthers | Panthers +7.5 | 4% | LOSS |
| Giants @ Raiders | Raiders ML | 3% | LOSS |
| Eagles @ Bills | Eagles ML | 3% | LOSS |
| Harvard @ Colgate | Colgate ML | 3% | LOSS |
| Pistons @ Clippers | Clippers +3.5 | 4% | WIN |
December Performance Dashboard
By Market: Spread 48–58 · Moneyline 27–36 · Totals 25–18 · Props 8–9
Today’s Plays · Dec 29
NFL
Rams @ Falcons — Rams -7.5 (3%)
Blake Corum Over 44.5 Rush Yds — (2%)
NBA
Nuggets @ Heat — Nuggets -2.5 (3%)
Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 15.5 PTS — (2%)
Cavaliers @ Spurs — Spurs -3.5 (3%)
NCAA Basketball
UMass Lowell @ #25 Iowa — Iowa -32.5 (2%)
Belmont @ Indiana State — Under 159.5 (3%)
McNeese @ #2 Michigan — Michigan -23.5 (3%)
Queens @ Auburn — Over 169.5 (4%)
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
Please be aware that gambling involves risk and should be considered a form of entertainment. It should not be relied upon as a source of income. Ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek advice if necessary. Participation should be moderate and controlled.
At BrownBagBets, while we provide insights and strategies, we do not guarantee winnings and cannot be held responsible for losses resulting from gambling activities. We encourage all members to gamble responsibly and within their means.
Our Approach to Bankroll Management
We advocate for a strategic approach to betting with our innovative bankroll management techniques. Our aim is to help gamblers make informed decisions and extend their playtime and enjoyment. Remember, the smartest bettors always know when to stop.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
