Trust the Process: How BrownBagBets Navigates the Highs and Lows

The Art of the Bounce Back: Trusting the Process Through the Ebbs and Flows

If you’ve been with us for a while, you know the story: the middle part of May has been a grind. Another losing day yesterday has us dipping below 100% of our starting bankroll for the month. It’s not where we want to be—no one’s happy with it—but we’re also not strangers to this part of the journey.

Here’s the reality of sports betting: there are streaks, there are slumps, and there is the process. And it’s the process that always carries us through. We've built BrownBagBets on the premise of bankroll intelligence, strategic volume betting, and long-term ROI. It's not about the highs and lows of individual days—it's about the month, the quarter, the year.

Let’s remember our track record:

• February: Up 150%

• March: Up 152%

• April: Up 206%

• YTD Average: 147% of starting bankroll

These weren’t flukes. They were the result of methodical, data-driven decisions. So, while May has started a bit turbulent, history shows us that the rebound is not only possible—it’s expected. The edge comes from staying the course, trusting the indicators, and doubling down on what’s proven.

Today’s Slate:

• EPL Spotlight Match:
  Liverpool heads to Brighton. The Reds are already crowned champions, but don’t think they’re taking the foot off the gas. Salah is chasing personal history, and Brighton’s home form has been solid—unbeaten in their last seven at the Amex. We’ve got a look at this one for value.

• MLB:
  With both the NBA and NHL taking a day off to prep for their respective Conference Finals, we turn our attention to Monday Night Baseball. Some strong indicators are flagging for us—full breakdown coming your way.

Process over panic. That’s the mantra. When you bet with BrownBagBets, you bet with a strategy that is built to last—not just through the wins, but through the storms too. Let’s get it back today.

English Premier League

Liverpool at Brighton & Hove Albion

Pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ +110 / Wager: 3%

MLB

Cincinatti Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

Pick: Reds -1.5 @ +140 / Wager: 5%

Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins

Pick: Kyle Stowers over 0.5 HRs @ +650 / Wager: 3%

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox

Pick: Mariners -1.5 @ +100 / Wager: 5%

Baltimore Orioles at Milwaukee Brewers

Pick: Brewers ML / Wager: 5%

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies

Pick: Rockies +3 @ -135 / Wager: 5%

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

Pick: Over 9.5 / Wager: 4%