Community, Volume, and a 184% Bankroll: September 10 Sports Betting Update

Daily Card – Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Volume Investing

Last night was quintessential BrownBagBets: seven plays, a 3–4 split, and barely a dent to the roll. That’s our community’s edge — we embrace volume, price discipline, and sensible stakes so that variance is a speed bump, not a brick wall. Closing the first third of September, we’re sitting at 184% of starting bankroll. Most paid services promise the moon; we show our math, share our tickets, and invest together with rationale that actually makes sense.

Tuesday’s Results

3–4

Mets at Phillies

Phillies ML -130 (3%)

WIN

Rockies at Dodgers

Dodgers -1.5 -140 (2%)

WIN

Astros at Blue Jays

Yordan Alvarez HR +305 (2%)

LOSS

Cubs at Braves

Strider U6.5 K -140 (2%)

LOSS

Rays at White Sox

Caminero HR +325 (2%)

LOSS

Brewers at Rangers

Rangers ML -110 (3%)

WIN

Twins at Angels

Twins -1.5 +130 (3%)

LOSS

September Results To-Date

Updated thru 9/9

Bankroll

189% → 184%

Record

51–32–1

Win Streak: L2 (after W7)

By Sport

MLB 28–19–1
NFL 14–9
NCAAF 10–4

By Market Type

Spread 22–10
Moneyline 16–6
Total 6–7–1
Props 7–9

Results by Wager %

5%: 1–1
4%: 7–3
3%: 17–8
2%: 18–19
1%: 2–2

Today’s Picks (Updated 4:00 PM ET)

5 Plays

Brewers at Rangers

3%

Pick: Rangers ML +125

Back to Arlington after last night’s cash. Still plus-money with edge in our model — a core 3% stake.

Royals at Guardians

1%

Pick: Jose Ramirez to hit a HR +380

Long-shot prop, but barrel rates suggest sneaky value. Small 1% flyer.

Nationals at Marlins

2%

Pick: Eury Perez over 5.5 K -110

Nats whiff often vs RHP. Pitch count clears 90 — plenty of room to hit 6 Ks.

Mets at Phillies

2%

Pick: Clay Holmes under 15.5 Outs -150

Holmes fades third time through. Philly lineup punishes late. 2% fade spot.

Astros at Blue Jays

3%

Pick: Over 9 -110

Both offenses live, bullpens taxed. Model projects 9.6 runs. Clear Over value.

Bankroll Tracker

184%

Starting bankroll = 100%. Current = 184% as of Sept 10.

FAQ

Community Notes

Why so many plays?

Volume reduces variance. We stack repeatable edges instead of chasing outliers.

What does 184% mean?

Every $100 at the start of the month is now $184. Transparent, tracked, community-first.

How do I follow?

Daily cards post here — free. We publish picks with rationale and update results daily.

BrownBagBets is a community of disciplined bettors treating this like an investment portfolio. Trust the process, manage the risk, and enjoy the climb.