Finishing August Strong: Locking in Our Fifth Winning Month of 2025

Finishing August Strong: Locking in Our Fifth Winning Month of 2025

Here we are—the final Sunday of August, the final betting day of the month, and we’re staring down a number every Brown Bag Bets reader should understand: 155% of our starting bankroll. That’s not a throwaway number. It’s the result of four full weeks of disciplined portfolio betting, where we structure wagers by percentage, not emotions, and finish the month in control of our bankroll instead of chasing it.

Yesterday was a perfect illustration of that discipline. We went 9–7 overall, but here’s the key: most of the losses sat at our low-end 2% exposure, while the wins clustered in the 3–4% range where conviction was stronger. That’s bankroll intelligence at work—letting volume smooth out variance while making sure the heavier chips land on the smarter bets.

At Brown Bag Bets, each month is its own self-contained chapter. We begin with a defined bankroll, and we measure performance against that starting point. Closing August at 155% means we’ve grown our capital by 55% in 31 days, and today offers the chance to secure and seal that success as the fifth winning month out of eight in 2025. These final-day slates matter, not because we’re pressing, but because they represent the final chance to sharpen the chapter before the page turns to September.

So, as we dive into today’s card, the mission is clear: maintain discipline, trust the model, and finish August with a statement that this community has built its gains deliberately—not by chance, not by chasing, but by portfolio-level thinking.

Yesterday’s Results – August 30, 2025

Texas vs Ohio State Under 49.5

✅ Win — 4%

Chelsea ML vs Fulham

✅ Win — 3%

Man United at Burnley Under 2.5

❌ Loss — 2%

Tennessee -12.5

✅ Win — 3%

Toledo/Kent State Under 48.5

✅ Win — 4%

Alabama/FSU Under 50.5

✅ Win — 2%

Alabama -13.5

❌ Loss — 2%

Marshall/Georgia Under 54

✅ Win — 2%

Utah State -4 vs UTEP

✅ Win — 4%

Oregon State ML vs Cal

❌ Loss — 2%

Bournemouth/Tottenham BTTS + Spurs ML

❌ Loss — 2%

Newcastle ML at Leeds

❌ Loss — 2%

UCLA +6 vs Utah

❌ Loss — 2%

Brewers ML at Blue Jays

✅ Win — 2%

Mets -1.5 vs Miami

❌ Loss — 2%

Padres -1.5 at Twins

✅ Win — 2%

Today’s Picks – August 31, 2025 (as of 7:00AM ET)

Manchester City at Brighton

Pick: BTTS — Yes

2%

West Ham at Nottingham Forest

Pick: Over 2.5

2%

Arsenal at Liverpool

Pick: Over 2.5

3%

Crystal Palace at Aston Villa

Pick: Under 2.5

2%

Virginia Tech at South Carolina

Pick: Over 50

3%

Notre Dame at Miami

Pick: Under 51

4%

Notre Dame at Miami

Pick: Notre Dame ML

4%

Padres at Twins

Pick: Padres ML

5%

Today's Picks

Aug 31, 2025

As of Noon ET

Mariners at Guardians

Pick: Guardians ML

Wager 5%

Angels at Astros

Pick: Astros -1.5

Wager 5%