Friday Premier League Opener & MLB Picks – BrownBagBets Top Friday Plays

BrownBagBets Daily — Friday, Aug 15, 2025

3–4 Day Bankroll: 130% EPL Returns MLB Rolling

We went 3–4 yesterday, a small step back, and one we’ll take every time the floor holds steady. The bankroll barometer ticks in this morning at 130%, which means we’re still sitting on a healthy August cushion — thanks, mostly, to sharp discipline in MLB.

But today, something different is in the air. No, not the humid leftovers of August baseball. We’re talking Premier League opening day.

If you’ve been with us long enough to remember last year’s EPL campaign... you already know where this is headed. BrownBagBets proudly boasts a singular, undisputed “EPL Expert” — and the results don’t lie. (Because, in fairness, the results are public. And available. And not good.)

Still, our guy is back at it this season. He’s sharpened his tools, trained a robot, and continues to deliver masterclass reasoning like:
“We like Manchester United to win... because they’re favored.”

That’s the actual indicator. That’s the science. And despite the rest of the team repeatedly busting his chops, nobody — and we mean nobody — has made a serious attempt to step in and help the cause.

There was, once upon a time, a Premier League duo at BrownBagBets. But that partnership imploded like a Newcastle title bid. No public statement. Just whispers, rumors, and screenshots of mean Slack messages. It didn’t last.

And so here we are. A new EPL season. Half the MLB board still active. And the same BrownBagBets engine ready to fire.

Let’s go win the day — the smart way. Cheers to clean cards, robot indicators, and the occasional miracle cover.

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Bankroll Intelligence EPL Chaos Reporting Transparent Performance Logs Robots Are Real

Current Bankroll

Sitting at 130% of August starting bankroll

Thursday Recap — August 14, 2025

3–4 Record Bankroll: 130% Volume Strategy

A 3–4 split yesterday... and yet another lesson in bankroll intelligence. We took 7 total positions and still walk into Friday comfortably above water — sitting at 130% of our August starting bankroll.

That’s the beauty of confidence-weighted wagering and sizing by signal — when you win the right games, your losses don’t break the machine.

Matchup	Pick	Result
Cubs at Blue Jays	Under 8.5	✅ Win
Marlins at Guardians	Guardians ML	✅ Win
Braves at Mets	Over 8.5	❌ Loss
Phillies at Nationals	Phillies -1.5	❌ Loss
Tigers at Twins	Tigers -1.5	❌ Loss
D’Backs at Rockies	D’Backs -1.5	✅ Win

Key Takeaway:
We don’t need perfection — just performance. This 3–4 slate shows how losses don't have to hurt when your strategy is disciplined, your confidence levels are real, and your sizing follows signal.

Current Bankroll: 130% of August starting amount

Picks Update — 8:15 AM ET

Live Market Friday Slate Premier League

Premier League

AFC Bournemouth at Liverpool FC
Pick: Liverpool -1.5 / Wager: 4%

NFL Preseason

Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons
Pick: Titans -3 / Wager: 3%

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks
Pick: Under 40 / Wager: 3%

MLB

Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox
Pick: Red Sox ML / Wager: 4%

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals
Pick: Royals -1.5 @ +120 / Wager: 5%